Brazil · Serie A

RB Bragantino vs Cruzeiro

Full time · 4:2

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

RB Bragantino 20.7% Draw 23.3% Cruzeiro 56.0%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 63%

✓ Pick was correct (4:2)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cruzeiro: 5 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

RB Bragantino

D L D L L W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Cruzeiro

W W L W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Bragantino win20.7%

Draw23.3%

Cruzeiro win56.0%

Over 1.5 goals85.5%

Over 2.5 goals64.4%

Over 3.5 goals42.3%

Both teams to score63.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.2%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.1%

Draw or Away (X2)78.0%

Draw No Bet - Away72.2%

Both Halves Over 0.565.0%

Goal in Both Halves65.0%

Away Win57.1%

Home or Draw (1X)42.9%

Draw No Bet - Home27.8%

Home Win21.9%

Draw20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal12.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.1%

Over 1.5 Goals84.3%

Under 4.5 Goals76.0%

Over 2.5 Goals64.3%

2-4 Goals60.3%

Under 3.5 Goals57.7%

1-3 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.3%

4+ Goals42.3%

2-3 Goals42.0%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals35.7%

1-2 Goals32.0%

Over 4.5 Goals24.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.0%

Under 1.5 Goals15.7%

Over 5.5 Goals11.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.6%

Home Team to Score70.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.1%

Away Clean Sheet29.3%

Away Win to Nil25.6%

Home Clean Sheet12.4%

Home Win to Nil8.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.6%

Home Over 0.570.7%

Away Over 1.561.7%

Home Exactly 136.0%

Home Over 1.534.7%

Away Over 2.534.7%

Away 3+ Goals34.7%

Home Exactly 029.3%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 125.9%

Home Exactly 222.1%

Home Over 2.512.7%

Home 3+ Goals12.7%

Away Exactly 012.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home65.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)57.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)34.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away34.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.5%

Away to win by 122.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.4%

Away to win by 3+17.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 217.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 113.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.0%

Home to win by 26.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.8%

Home to win by 3+2.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.552.6%

Away & Over 2.541.6%

Away & BTTS31.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.3%

Away & No BTTS25.6%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Away & Under 2.515.5%

Home & Over 2.514.8%

Home & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Under 2.512.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Home & No BTTS8.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

Home & Under 2.57.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.5%

HT Under 1.556.0%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.544.0%

HT Away Win43.4%

HT/FT Away/Away36.8%

HT Draw35.8%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Both Teams Score25.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.6%

HT Under 0.522.5%

HT Home Win20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.8%

HT/FT Home/Home12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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