Brazil · Serie A

RB Bragantino vs Gremio

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

RB Bragantino 54.3% Draw 31.7% Gremio 14.0%

Over 2.5 - 29% BTTS - 33%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 20.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to RB Bragantino: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

20.3%

Exact-score model probability

RB Bragantino

D L D D W W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Gremio

L W D L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Bragantino win54.3%

Draw31.7%

Gremio win14.0%

Over 1.5 goals57.3%

Over 2.5 goals28.9%

Over 3.5 goals12.1%

Both teams to score32.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.5%

Draw No Bet - Home78.3%

Home or Away (12)71.2%

Home Win55.8%

Draw or Away (X2)44.2%

Both Halves Over 0.536.6%

Goal in Both Halves36.6%

Draw28.8%

Exactly 1 Goal28.8%

Draw No Bet - Away21.7%

Away Win15.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.8%

Under 4.5 Goals95.8%

Under 3.5 Goals87.9%

Over 0.5 Goals84.6%

1-3 Goals72.6%

Under 2.5 Goals71.1%

Over 1.5 Goals55.8%

1-2 Goals55.7%

2-4 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even51.2%

Total Goals Odd48.8%

Under 1.5 Goals44.2%

2-3 Goals43.8%

Over 2.5 Goals28.9%

Exactly 2 Goals27.0%

3-4 Goals24.7%

Exactly 3 Goals16.8%

Under 0.5 Goals15.4%

Exactly 0 Goals15.4%

Over 3.5 Goals12.1%

4+ Goals12.1%

Over 4.5 Goals4.2%

Over 5.5 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score73.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)69.0%

Home Clean Sheet57.7%

Away Team to Score42.3%

Home Win to Nil42.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.0%

Away Clean Sheet26.7%

Away Win to Nil11.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.573.3%

Away Exactly 057.7%

Away Over 0.542.3%

Home Over 1.538.1%

Home Exactly 135.2%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Home Exactly 026.7%

Home Exactly 223.3%

Home Over 2.514.8%

Home 3+ Goals14.8%

Away Over 1.510.6%

Away Exactly 28.7%

Away Over 2.51.8%

Away 3+ Goals1.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)72.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away72.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)55.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)44.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away44.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.7%

Home to win by 128.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home27.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 217.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 111.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.1%

Home to win by 3+10.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 22.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.559.9%

Home & No BTTS42.3%

Home & Under 2.533.8%

Draw & Under 2.526.6%

Home & Over 2.522.0%

BTTS & Over 2.519.8%

Home & BTTS13.5%

Draw & BTTS13.4%

Away & No BTTS11.3%

BTTS & Under 2.511.2%

Away & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Away & Over 2.54.7%

Away & BTTS4.2%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.579.3%

HT Over 0.556.9%

HT Draw49.6%

HT Under 0.543.1%

2nd Half More Goals39.1%

HT Home Win37.4%

HT/FT Home/Home33.4%

Equal Goals Each Half31.9%

1st Half More Goals29.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw21.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.9%

HT Over 1.520.7%

HT Away Win13.0%

HT Both Teams Score9.8%

HT/FT Away/Away8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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