Brazil · Serie A

RB Bragantino vs Mirassol

Kick-off 23:30 · Wed, Oct 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

RB Bragantino 43.5% Draw 26.5% Mirassol 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 59% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Mirassol: 5 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.9%

Exact-score model probability

RB Bragantino

L D L L W D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Mirassol

W D W L D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Bragantino win43.5%

Draw26.5%

Mirassol win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals82.4%

Over 2.5 goals59.1%

Over 3.5 goals36.7%

Both teams to score62.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.3%

Home or Draw (1X)68.7%

Both Halves Over 0.560.9%

Goal in Both Halves60.9%

Draw No Bet - Home58.9%

Draw or Away (X2)55.0%

Home Win45.0%

Draw No Bet - Away41.1%

Away Win31.3%

Draw23.7%

Exactly 1 Goal14.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Under 5.5 Goals91.0%

Over 1.5 Goals81.0%

Under 4.5 Goals80.5%

Under 3.5 Goals63.3%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals59.0%

1-3 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.3%

Under 2.5 Goals41.0%

3-4 Goals39.5%

Over 3.5 Goals36.7%

4+ Goals36.7%

1-2 Goals36.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals19.5%

Under 1.5 Goals19.0%

Over 5.5 Goals9.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals4.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.5%

Away Team to Score74.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.1%

Home Clean Sheet25.3%

Home Win to Nil20.6%

Away Clean Sheet18.5%

Away Win to Nil13.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.5%

Away Over 0.574.7%

Home Over 1.550.3%

Away Over 1.539.9%

Away Exactly 134.8%

Home Exactly 131.2%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 025.3%

Home Over 2.524.0%

Home 3+ Goals24.0%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 018.5%

Away Over 2.516.0%

Away 3+ Goals16.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)55.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away55.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.4%

Home to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.4%

Away to win by 117.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 213.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.0%

Home to win by 3+10.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.0%

Away to win by 29.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.9%

Away to win by 3+4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.0%

Home & Over 2.530.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.1%

Home & BTTS24.3%

Home & No BTTS20.6%

Away & Over 2.520.5%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Away & BTTS17.5%

Draw & Under 2.515.5%

Home & Under 2.514.6%

Away & No BTTS13.8%

BTTS & Under 2.510.9%

Away & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.574.8%

HT Under 1.559.9%

2nd Half More Goals44.8%

HT Over 1.540.1%

HT Draw38.5%

HT Home Win35.0%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT/FT Home/Home27.5%

HT Away Win26.5%

HT Under 0.525.2%

HT Both Teams Score24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.7%

HT/FT Away/Away18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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