Germany · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

RB Leipzig 60.3% Draw 21.9% Borussia Mönchengladbach 17.8%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to RB Leipzig: 12 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

RB Leipzig

L W L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Borussia Mönchengladbach

W L W D D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:5 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

RB Leipzig 2wins ·2 draws ·Borussia Mönchengladbach 1wins

RB Leipzig 1-0 Borussia MönchengladbachApr 11, 2026

RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 28, 2025

RB Leipzig 0-1 Borussia MönchengladbachMar 29, 2025

RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia MönchengladbachNov 9, 2024

RB Leipzig 2-0 Borussia MönchengladbachFeb 17, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Leipzig win60.3%

Draw21.9%

Borussia Mönchengladbach win17.8%

Over 1.5 goals82.9%

Over 2.5 goals92.0%

Over 3.5 goals38.6%

Both teams to score69.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.3%

Home or Away (12)

88.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

86.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.9%

Draw No Bet - Home92.6%

Home or Away (12)88.4%

Home Win81.9%

Both Halves Over 0.574.2%

Goal in Both Halves74.2%

Draw or Away (X2)17.6%

Draw11.0%

Draw No Bet - Away7.4%

Exactly 1 Goal7.3%

Away Win6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals90.3%

Under 5.5 Goals79.1%

Over 2.5 Goals75.6%

Under 4.5 Goals63.5%

Over 3.5 Goals56.0%

4+ Goals56.0%

2-4 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals44.0%

1-3 Goals41.6%

3-4 Goals39.1%

Over 4.5 Goals36.5%

2-3 Goals34.2%

Under 2.5 Goals24.4%

1-2 Goals22.0%

Over 5.5 Goals20.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals14.7%

Under 1.5 Goals9.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

Away Team to Score56.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.0%

Home Clean Sheet43.0%

Home Win to Nil41.2%

Away Clean Sheet4.3%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 1.581.8%

Home Over 2.560.6%

Home 3+ Goals60.6%

Away Over 0.556.4%

Away Exactly 043.0%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Home Exactly 221.2%

Away Over 1.520.4%

Away Exactly 215.1%

Home Exactly 113.4%

Away Over 2.55.3%

Away 3+ Goals5.3%

Home Exactly 04.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home64.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.7%

Home to win by 3+43.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 220.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 117.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away17.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.7%

Away to win by 14.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.566.9%

BTTS & Over 2.549.2%

Home & No BTTS41.2%

Home & BTTS40.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.526.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.0%

Home & Under 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS9.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Away & Over 2.54.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.3%

Away & BTTS4.1%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.4%

HT Home Win63.6%

HT/FT Home/Home60.4%

HT Over 1.553.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw26.7%

HT Both Teams Score23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.4%

HT Under 0.516.6%

HT Away Win9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Away/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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