Germany · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

RB Leipzig 61.1% Draw 19.9% Eintracht Frankfurt 18.9%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Head-to-head record: RB Leipzig 3 wins, 1 draws, Eintracht Frankfurt 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

RB Leipzig

L W L L W L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

Eintracht Frankfurt

D W L D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 13:15 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

RB Leipzig 3wins ·1 draws ·Eintracht Frankfurt 1wins

RB Leipzig 3-1 Eintracht FrankfurtApr 18, 2026

RB Leipzig 6-0 Eintracht FrankfurtDec 6, 2025

RB Leipzig 0-4 Eintracht FrankfurtApr 26, 2025

RB Leipzig 2-1 Eintracht FrankfurtDec 15, 2024

RB Leipzig 2-2 Eintracht FrankfurtMay 18, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Leipzig win61.1%

Draw19.9%

Eintracht Frankfurt win18.9%

Over 1.5 goals88.9%

Over 2.5 goals95.8%

Over 3.5 goals50.6%

Both teams to score86.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.6%

Goal in Both Halves87.6%

Home or Away (12)85.4%

Home or Draw (1X)82.7%

Draw No Bet - Home81.3%

Home Win69.4%

Draw or Away (X2)29.2%

Draw No Bet - Away18.7%

Away Win16.0%

Draw13.3%

Exactly 1 Goal2.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals90.3%

Over 3.5 Goals79.3%

4+ Goals79.3%

Over 4.5 Goals64.0%

Under 5.5 Goals53.0%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Over 5.5 Goals47.0%

Under 4.5 Goals36.0%

2-4 Goals32.1%

3-4 Goals26.2%

Under 3.5 Goals20.7%

1-3 Goals19.0%

2-3 Goals16.9%

Exactly 3 Goals11.0%

Under 2.5 Goals9.7%

1-2 Goals8.0%

Exactly 2 Goals5.9%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score83.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.4%

Home Clean Sheet14.9%

Home Win to Nil14.5%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.586.9%

Away Over 0.583.7%

Home Over 2.569.8%

Home 3+ Goals69.8%

Away Over 1.555.6%

Away Over 2.529.0%

Away 3+ Goals29.0%

Away Exactly 128.2%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 217.1%

Away Exactly 014.9%

Home Exactly 19.3%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.7%

Home to win by 3+35.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away29.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.0%

Home to win by 217.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home11.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.5%

Away to win by 18.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.5%

Away to win by 24.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.0%

Away to win by 3+3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.0%

Home & Over 2.565.4%

Home & BTTS54.9%

Away & Over 2.514.6%

Home & No BTTS14.5%

Away & BTTS13.8%

Draw & BTTS12.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Home & Under 2.54.0%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.8%

HT Over 1.571.4%

HT Home Win56.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT/FT Home/Home50.3%

HT Both Teams Score46.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.6%

HT Draw24.4%

HT Away Win19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Away/Away9.4%

HT Under 0.58.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions