Germany · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg

Kick-off 15:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

RB Leipzig 68.4% Draw 18.0% FC Augsburg 13.5%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.1%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to RB Leipzig: 9 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.1%

Exact-score model probability

RB Leipzig

L W W L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:13 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.17

FC Augsburg

L D L D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 11:14 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 5

RB Leipzig 3wins ·2 draws ·FC Augsburg 0wins

RB Leipzig 2-1 FC AugsburgMar 7, 2026

RB Leipzig 6-0 FC AugsburgOct 25, 2025

RB Leipzig 0-0 FC AugsburgFeb 14, 2025

RB Leipzig 4-0 FC AugsburgSep 28, 2024

RB Leipzig 2-2 FC AugsburgFeb 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Leipzig win68.4%

Draw18.0%

FC Augsburg win13.5%

Over 1.5 goals86.9%

Over 2.5 goals96.7%

Over 3.5 goals46.6%

Both teams to score90.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.2%

Home Over 1.5

88.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.588.0%

Goal in Both Halves88.0%

Home or Away (12)86.5%

Home or Draw (1X)85.8%

Draw No Bet - Home85.8%

Home Win74.2%

Draw or Away (X2)23.9%

Draw No Bet - Away14.2%

Away Win12.3%

Draw11.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals90.2%

Over 3.5 Goals79.6%

4+ Goals79.6%

Over 4.5 Goals64.7%

Under 5.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Over 5.5 Goals47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals35.3%

2-4 Goals31.0%

3-4 Goals25.5%

Under 3.5 Goals20.4%

1-3 Goals18.1%

2-3 Goals16.1%

Exactly 3 Goals10.5%

Under 2.5 Goals9.8%

1-2 Goals7.6%

Exactly 2 Goals5.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

Away Team to Score80.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.8%

Home Clean Sheet17.2%

Home Win to Nil16.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.0%

Away Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.3%

Away Over 0.580.9%

Home Over 2.573.0%

Home 3+ Goals73.0%

Away Over 1.550.9%

Away Exactly 130.0%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.524.8%

Away 3+ Goals24.8%

Away Exactly 017.2%

Home Exactly 215.3%

Home Exactly 17.8%

Home Exactly 02.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away84.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)72.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away72.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.4%

Home to win by 3+41.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.6%

Home to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.9%

Away to win by 16.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 23.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.8%

Home & Over 2.570.1%

Home & BTTS57.3%

Home & No BTTS16.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.3%

Away & Over 2.511.2%

Draw & BTTS11.2%

Away & BTTS10.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.5%

Home & Under 2.54.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.7%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Away & No BTTS1.6%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.1%

HT Over 1.572.2%

HT Home Win60.7%

HT/FT Home/Home55.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Both Teams Score45.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.8%

HT Draw23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT Away Win16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.9%

HT Under 0.57.9%

HT/FT Away/Away7.1%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions