UEFA Champions League

RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 13

📊 Our Prediction

HT Over 0.5

60% confidence

RB Leipzig 59.7% Draw 14.0% PSV Eindhoven 26.3%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 95%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

95%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is RB Leipzig win at 59.7%.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to PSV Eindhoven: 9 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this HT Over 0.5

RB Leipzig win

59.7%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14%

1X2 model probability

PSV Eindhoven win

26.3%

1X2 model probability

RB Leipzig

W L W L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 16:9 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.5

PSV Eindhoven

W L W D W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 18:7 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Leipzig win59.7%

Draw14.0%

PSV Eindhoven win26.3%

Over 1.5 goals99.7%

Over 2.5 goals98.2%

Over 3.5 goals94.6%

Both teams to score94.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.595.5%

Goal in Both Halves95.5%

Home or Away (12)82.2%

Home or Draw (1X)70.2%

Draw No Bet - Home69.4%

Home Win57.0%

Draw or Away (X2)38.4%

Draw No Bet - Away30.6%

Away Win25.2%

Draw13.2%

Exactly 1 Goal0.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals93.7%

Over 3.5 Goals90.3%

4+ Goals90.3%

Over 4.5 Goals83.7%

Over 5.5 Goals73.5%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

Total Goals Even47.7%

Under 5.5 Goals26.5%

Under 4.5 Goals16.3%

2-4 Goals11.3%

3-4 Goals10.0%

Under 3.5 Goals9.7%

Under 2.5 Goals6.3%

1-3 Goals5.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

2-3 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 3 Goals3.4%

1-2 Goals1.7%

Exactly 2 Goals1.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score91.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.5%

Home Clean Sheet3.9%

Home Win to Nil3.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Away Over 0.591.5%

Home Over 1.589.3%

Away Over 1.579.1%

Home Over 2.578.2%

Home 3+ Goals78.2%

Away Over 2.559.2%

Away 3+ Goals59.2%

Away Exactly 219.9%

Away Exactly 112.4%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Exactly 03.9%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home42.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.6%

Home to win by 3+28.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 213.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.4%

Away to win by 110.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.7%

Away to win by 3+7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw7.1%

Away to win by 27.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.8%

Home & Over 2.556.4%

Home & BTTS53.2%

Away & Over 2.524.8%

Away & BTTS24.1%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Over 2.512.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.53.9%

Home & No BTTS3.8%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Home & Under 2.50.7%

Draw & Under 2.50.7%

BTTS & Under 2.50.6%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.9%

HT Over 1.586.1%

HT Both Teams Score66.3%

2nd Half More Goals53.6%

HT Home Win51.0%

HT/FT Home/Home42.5%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Away Win27.5%

HT Draw21.5%

HT/FT Away/Away16.0%

Equal Goals Each Half14.1%

HT Under 1.513.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Away/Home6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

HT Under 0.53.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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