Germany · Bundesliga

RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg

Full time · 4:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

RB Leipzig 61.5% Draw 20.8% SV Elversberg 17.6%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 88%

✓ Pick was correct (4:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to SV Elversberg: 9 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

RB Leipzig

L L W W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 14:12 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2

SV Elversberg

W L D L W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

RB Leipzig win61.5%

Draw20.8%

SV Elversberg win17.6%

Over 1.5 goals84.0%

Over 2.5 goals96.1%

Over 3.5 goals40.9%

Both teams to score87.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Over 1.5

89.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.592.6%

Goal in Both Halves92.6%

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Draw No Bet - Home84.6%

Home or Draw (1X)82.8%

Home Win72.1%

Draw or Away (X2)23.8%

Draw No Bet - Away15.4%

Away Win13.1%

Draw10.7%

Exactly 1 Goal0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.0%

Over 2.5 Goals92.1%

Over 3.5 Goals85.9%

4+ Goals85.9%

Over 4.5 Goals75.4%

Over 5.5 Goals61.5%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Under 5.5 Goals38.5%

Under 4.5 Goals24.6%

2-4 Goals19.5%

3-4 Goals16.7%

Under 3.5 Goals14.1%

1-3 Goals9.9%

2-3 Goals9.1%

Under 2.5 Goals7.9%

Exactly 3 Goals6.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

1-2 Goals3.7%

Exactly 2 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.8%

Away Team to Score85.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.0%

Home Clean Sheet10.9%

Home Win to Nil10.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.8%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Away Over 0.585.0%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 1.561.3%

Away Over 2.535.5%

Away 3+ Goals35.5%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 010.9%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)88.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home82.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)72.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away68.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)42.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home42.3%

Home to win by 3+42.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away38.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 114.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 16.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.582.8%

Home & Over 2.570.3%

Home & BTTS61.3%

Away & Over 2.512.5%

Away & BTTS12.1%

Home & No BTTS10.8%

Draw & BTTS10.6%

Draw & Over 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.5%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Draw & Under 2.51.4%

BTTS & Under 2.51.2%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.595.0%

HT Over 1.580.1%

HT Home Win61.6%

HT/FT Home/Home56.1%

HT Both Teams Score54.2%

2nd Half More Goals52.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw20.9%

HT Under 1.519.9%

HT Away Win17.5%

Equal Goals Each Half15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT/FT Away/Away7.7%

HT/FT Away/Home6.3%

HT Under 0.55.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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