Spain · La Liga

Real Betis vs Getafe

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Real Betis 54.0% Draw 28.8% Getafe 17.2%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 13.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 15 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.7%

Exact-score model probability

Real Betis

W W W L W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 10:8 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.33

Getafe

D D L W W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Real Betis 3wins ·1 draws ·Getafe 1wins

Real Betis 0-2 GetafeMar 8, 2026

Real Betis 4-0 GetafeDec 21, 2025

Real Betis 2-1 GetafeFeb 23, 2025

Real Betis 2-1 GetafeSep 18, 2024

Real Betis 1-1 GetafeFeb 4, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Betis win54.0%

Draw28.8%

Getafe win17.2%

Over 1.5 goals59.0%

Over 2.5 goals31.7%

Over 3.5 goals13.9%

Both teams to score40.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.4%

Home or Draw (1X)

86.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

86.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.0%

Draw No Bet - Home82.1%

Home or Away (12)78.5%

Home Win64.5%

Both Halves Over 0.552.9%

Goal in Both Halves52.9%

Draw or Away (X2)35.5%

Draw21.5%

Exactly 1 Goal19.1%

Draw No Bet - Away17.9%

Away Win14.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.9%

Over 0.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals87.4%

Over 1.5 Goals73.7%

Under 3.5 Goals73.1%

1-3 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.3%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.7%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.0%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Over 3.5 Goals26.9%

4+ Goals26.9%

Under 1.5 Goals26.3%

Exactly 2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 0 Goals7.3%

Over 5.5 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.7%

Away Team to Score52.3%

Home Clean Sheet47.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.3%

Home Win to Nil40.4%

Away Clean Sheet15.2%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.8%

Home Over 1.556.1%

Away Over 0.552.3%

Away Exactly 047.7%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Over 2.529.1%

Home 3+ Goals29.1%

Home Exactly 128.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Over 1.517.0%

Home Exactly 015.2%

Away Exactly 213.1%

Away Over 2.53.9%

Away 3+ Goals3.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.7%

Home to win by 125.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 220.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.8%

Home to win by 3+18.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 110.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.8%

Away to win by 3+0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.541.2%

Home & No BTTS40.4%

Home & Over 2.537.9%

BTTS & Over 2.534.2%

Home & Under 2.526.5%

Home & BTTS24.0%

Draw & Under 2.517.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.5%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Over 2.56.6%

Away & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Over 2.54.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.3%

HT Under 1.567.0%

HT Home Win46.1%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT/FT Home/Home41.5%

HT Draw40.0%

HT Over 1.533.0%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.4%

HT Both Teams Score16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.9%

HT Away Win13.8%

HT/FT Away/Away7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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