Spain · La Liga

Real Betis vs Malaga

Full time · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Real Betis 74.5% Draw 17.6% Malaga 7.9%

Over 2.5 - 54% BTTS - 51%

✓ Pick was correct (2:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

78%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 11 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Real Betis

D W L W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

Malaga

D L D D L D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Betis win74.5%

Draw17.6%

Malaga win7.9%

Over 1.5 goals78.0%

Over 2.5 goals54.0%

Over 3.5 goals31.7%

Both teams to score50.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.8%

Home Win

88.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.8%

Home or Draw (1X)95.1%

Home or Away (12)91.8%

Home Win88.9%

Both Halves Over 0.581.2%

Goal in Both Halves81.2%

Draw or Away (X2)9.1%

Draw6.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.3%

Draw No Bet - Away3.2%

Away Win2.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals92.7%

Over 2.5 Goals82.6%

Under 5.5 Goals69.1%

Over 3.5 Goals66.8%

4+ Goals66.8%

Under 4.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even49.1%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Over 4.5 Goals48.3%

2-4 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals34.3%

Under 3.5 Goals33.2%

Over 5.5 Goals30.9%

1-3 Goals30.2%

2-3 Goals25.9%

Under 2.5 Goals17.4%

Exactly 3 Goals15.8%

1-2 Goals14.4%

Exactly 2 Goals10.1%

Under 1.5 Goals7.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)50.5%

Away Team to Score50.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)49.5%

Home Clean Sheet47.5%

Home Win to Nil46.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.9%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.1%

Home Over 1.588.5%

Home Over 2.573.6%

Home 3+ Goals73.6%

Away Over 0.550.5%

Away Exactly 047.5%

Away Exactly 134.4%

Away Over 1.516.1%

Home Exactly 214.9%

Away Exactly 212.4%

Home Exactly 17.5%

Away Over 2.53.6%

Away 3+ Goals3.6%

Home Exactly 01.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home76.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away73.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)59.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home59.6%

Home to win by 3+59.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away57.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)40.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home40.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away38.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home24.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)21.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away21.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 217.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.2%

Away to win by 12.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.0%

BTTS & Over 2.546.9%

Home & No BTTS46.6%

Home & BTTS42.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.535.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.7%

Home & Under 2.510.9%

Draw & BTTS5.3%

Draw & Under 2.53.6%

Draw & Over 2.52.6%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Away & Over 2.52.0%

Away & BTTS1.9%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.9%

HT Home Win73.6%

HT/FT Home/Home71.8%

HT Over 1.562.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Under 1.537.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score23.1%

HT Draw20.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT Under 0.512.1%

HT Away Win6.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Away/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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