Spain · La Liga

Real Betis vs Osasuna

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Real Betis 61.2% Draw 22.6% Osasuna 16.2%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 43%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

76%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 13 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Real Betis

D W W W W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:9 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Osasuna

D L L L W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:13 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 5

Real Betis 3wins ·2 draws ·Osasuna 0wins

Real Betis 1-1 OsasunaApr 12, 2026

Real Betis 2-0 OsasunaSep 28, 2025

Real Betis 1-1 OsasunaMay 11, 2025

Real Betis 2-1 OsasunaOct 19, 2024

Real Betis 2-0 OsasunaMay 5, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Betis win61.2%

Draw22.6%

Osasuna win16.2%

Over 1.5 goals75.5%

Over 2.5 goals50.8%

Over 3.5 goals28.7%

Both teams to score42.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

88.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

87.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.7%

Draw No Bet - Home94.4%

Home or Away (12)88.8%

Home Win83.9%

Both Halves Over 0.568.2%

Goal in Both Halves68.2%

Draw or Away (X2)15.8%

Draw10.8%

Exactly 1 Goal10.3%

Draw No Bet - Away5.6%

Away Win4.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals86.4%

Under 5.5 Goals85.7%

Under 4.5 Goals72.2%

Over 2.5 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals58.7%

Under 3.5 Goals53.3%

1-3 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals46.7%

4+ Goals46.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.7%

Under 2.5 Goals31.8%

1-2 Goals28.6%

Over 4.5 Goals27.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.5%

Exactly 2 Goals18.2%

Over 5.5 Goals14.3%

Under 1.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.4%

Home Clean Sheet54.6%

Home Win to Nil51.7%

Away Team to Score45.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)42.6%

Away Clean Sheet5.3%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.7%

Home Over 2.555.8%

Home 3+ Goals55.8%

Away Exactly 054.6%

Away Over 0.545.0%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Home Exactly 222.9%

Home Exactly 115.6%

Away Over 1.512.2%

Away Exactly 29.9%

Home Exactly 05.3%

Away Over 2.52.3%

Away 3+ Goals2.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away87.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away75.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)65.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home65.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.5%

Home to win by 3+43.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away34.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw21.8%

Home to win by 221.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away15.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.8%

Away to win by 13.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.562.8%

Home & No BTTS51.7%

BTTS & Over 2.537.5%

Home & BTTS32.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.530.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.3%

Home & Under 2.521.1%

Draw & Under 2.58.1%

Draw & BTTS7.9%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Draw & Over 2.52.8%

Away & Over 2.52.6%

Away & BTTS2.5%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.6%

HT Home Win64.2%

HT/FT Home/Home61.7%

HT Under 1.552.8%

HT Over 1.547.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw28.3%

Equal Goals Each Half21.8%

HT Under 0.520.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.8%

HT Both Teams Score17.4%

HT Away Win7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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