Spain · La Liga

Real Betis vs Real Madrid

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Sep 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Real Betis 27.9% Draw 23.9% Real Madrid 48.2%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 68%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

79%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Real Madrid: 12 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.7%

Exact-score model probability

Real Betis

L W W W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 9:10 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Real Madrid

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 17:4 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Real Betis 1wins ·2 draws ·Real Madrid 2wins

Real Betis 1-1 Real MadridApr 24, 2026

Real Betis 1-5 Real MadridJan 4, 2026

Real Betis 2-1 Real MadridMar 1, 2025

Real Betis 0-2 Real MadridSep 1, 2024

Real Betis 0-0 Real MadridMay 25, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Betis win27.9%

Draw23.9%

Real Madrid win48.2%

Over 1.5 goals78.8%

Over 2.5 goals55.9%

Over 3.5 goals33.5%

Both teams to score68.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.5%

Draw or Away (X2)69.4%

Both Halves Over 0.561.4%

Goal in Both Halves61.4%

Draw No Bet - Away60.0%

Home or Draw (1X)54.1%

Away Win45.9%

Draw No Bet - Home40.0%

Home Win30.6%

Draw23.5%

Exactly 1 Goal14.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Under 5.5 Goals90.7%

Over 1.5 Goals81.4%

Under 4.5 Goals80.0%

Under 3.5 Goals62.7%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Over 2.5 Goals59.7%

1-3 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.1%

Under 2.5 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.3%

4+ Goals37.3%

1-2 Goals35.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.7%

Over 4.5 Goals20.0%

Under 1.5 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals4.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.1%

Home Team to Score74.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.8%

Away Clean Sheet25.5%

Away Win to Nil20.9%

Home Clean Sheet17.9%

Home Win to Nil13.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.1%

Home Over 0.574.5%

Away Over 1.551.3%

Home Over 1.539.7%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Away Exactly 130.8%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 025.5%

Away Over 2.524.9%

Away 3+ Goals24.9%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 017.9%

Home Over 2.515.9%

Home 3+ Goals15.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away69.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.5%

Away to win by 121.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.9%

Away to win by 213.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.5%

Away to win by 3+10.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.8%

Home to win by 28.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.8%

Home to win by 3+4.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.5%

Away & Over 2.531.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.6%

Away & BTTS25.0%

Away & No BTTS20.9%

Home & Over 2.520.1%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Home & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Under 2.515.3%

Away & Under 2.514.6%

Home & No BTTS13.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

Home & Under 2.510.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

Draw & Over 2.58.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.1%

HT Under 1.559.5%

2nd Half More Goals44.9%

HT Over 1.540.5%

HT Draw38.3%

HT Away Win35.7%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT/FT Away/Away28.2%

HT Home Win26.1%

HT Under 0.524.9%

HT Both Teams Score24.8%

Equal Goals Each Half23.6%

HT/FT Home/Home17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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