Spain · La Liga

Real Betis vs Real Sociedad

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Aug 21

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Real Betis 57.1% Draw 21.6% Real Sociedad 21.2%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Real Betis: 11 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Real Betis

W L W D W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

Real Sociedad

D L D D L D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Real Betis 2wins ·1 draws ·Real Sociedad 2wins

Real Betis 2-2 Real SociedadMay 9, 2026

Real Betis 3-1 Real SociedadSep 19, 2025

Real Betis 3-0 Real SociedadFeb 16, 2025

Real Betis 0-2 Real SociedadDec 1, 2024

Real Betis 0-2 Real SociedadMay 19, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Betis win57.1%

Draw21.6%

Real Sociedad win21.2%

Over 1.5 goals80.4%

Over 2.5 goals58.4%

Over 3.5 goals36.0%

Both teams to score69.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

89.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

85.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.4%

Home or Away (12)83.2%

Draw No Bet - Home81.5%

Both Halves Over 0.573.0%

Goal in Both Halves73.0%

Home Win67.8%

Draw or Away (X2)32.0%

Draw No Bet - Away18.5%

Draw16.6%

Away Win15.4%

Exactly 1 Goal7.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals80.3%

Over 2.5 Goals74.5%

Under 4.5 Goals65.1%

2-4 Goals54.9%

Over 3.5 Goals54.5%

4+ Goals54.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.5%

1-3 Goals43.3%

3-4 Goals39.5%

2-3 Goals35.4%

Over 4.5 Goals34.9%

Under 2.5 Goals25.5%

1-2 Goals23.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.0%

Over 5.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 2 Goals15.4%

Under 1.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.9%

Away Team to Score70.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.3%

Home Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Win to Nil27.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.9%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.9%

Home Over 1.574.4%

Away Over 0.570.6%

Home Over 2.549.7%

Home 3+ Goals49.7%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.534.8%

Away Exactly 029.2%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Home Exactly 118.5%

Away Over 2.512.7%

Away 3+ Goals12.7%

Home Exactly 06.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away52.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.9%

Home to win by 3+27.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 120.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home14.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 24.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.8%

Away to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.1%

Home & Over 2.555.2%

Home & BTTS40.6%

Home & No BTTS27.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.4%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

Home & Under 2.512.6%

Away & Over 2.511.4%

Away & BTTS10.5%

Draw & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.7%

HT Over 1.552.3%

HT Home Win52.0%

HT Under 1.547.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT/FT Home/Home46.4%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw30.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.4%

HT Under 0.517.3%

HT Away Win17.1%

HT/FT Away/Away8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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