USA · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs FC Dallas

Full time · 3:4

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

56% confidence

Real Salt Lake 56.2% Draw 22.5% FC Dallas 21.3%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 66%

✓ Pick was correct (3:4)

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Dallas: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.5%

Exact-score model probability

Real Salt Lake

D D L L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

FC Dallas

W D L D W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Real Salt Lake 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Dallas 1wins

Real Salt Lake 1-3 FC DallasMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Salt Lake win56.2%

Draw22.5%

FC Dallas win21.3%

Over 1.5 goals87.6%

Over 2.5 goals68.1%

Over 3.5 goals46.5%

Both teams to score66.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.7%

Home or Draw (1X)77.5%

Draw No Bet - Home71.9%

Both Halves Over 0.567.9%

Goal in Both Halves67.9%

Home Win57.3%

Draw or Away (X2)42.7%

Draw No Bet - Away28.1%

Away Win22.4%

Draw20.3%

Exactly 1 Goal10.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.5%

Under 5.5 Goals85.7%

Under 4.5 Goals72.4%

Over 2.5 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 3.5 Goals53.5%

1-3 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.5%

4+ Goals46.5%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals32.0%

1-2 Goals28.9%

Over 4.5 Goals27.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.4%

Over 5.5 Goals14.3%

Under 1.5 Goals13.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.8%

Away Team to Score73.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.0%

Home Clean Sheet26.8%

Home Win to Nil23.8%

Away Clean Sheet11.2%

Away Win to Nil8.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.8%

Away Over 0.573.2%

Home Over 1.564.3%

Away Over 1.537.9%

Home Over 2.537.5%

Home 3+ Goals37.5%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 026.8%

Home Exactly 124.5%

Away Exactly 223.2%

Away Over 2.514.7%

Away 3+ Goals14.7%

Home Exactly 011.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)64.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away64.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)57.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away42.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home35.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.9%

Home to win by 121.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.3%

Home to win by 3+18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 217.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.1%

Away to win by 113.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.2%

Away to win by 26.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.1%

Away to win by 3+3.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.4%

Home & Over 2.543.5%

Home & BTTS33.5%

Home & No BTTS23.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.3%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Away & Over 2.515.9%

Away & BTTS14.2%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.7%

Draw & Under 2.511.6%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & No BTTS8.2%

Away & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.4%

HT Under 1.553.2%

HT Over 1.546.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Home Win44.0%

HT/FT Home/Home37.1%

HT Draw34.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Away Win21.5%

HT Under 0.520.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.4%

HT/FT Away/Away12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners92.7%

Over 9.5 Corners87.4%

Away Over 4.5 Corners82.7%

Over 10.5 Corners80.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners79.4%

Over 11.5 Corners71.1%

Away Most Corners48.1%

Home Most Corners41.0%

Under 11.5 Corners28.9%

Under 10.5 Corners19.9%

Under 9.5 Corners12.6%

Under 8.5 Corners7.3%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards81.1%

Over 2.5 Cards73.6%

Under 4.5 Cards66.1%

Over 3.5 Cards53.3%

Under 3.5 Cards46.7%

Over 4.5 Cards33.9%

Under 2.5 Cards26.4%

Over 5.5 Cards18.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards15.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions