USA · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC

● LIVE 22' · 1:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Real Salt Lake 49.7% Draw 18.8% Los Angeles FC 31.5%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Los Angeles FC: 2 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.3%

Exact-score model probability

Real Salt Lake

L L L D D L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Los Angeles FC

D L L D W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Real Salt Lake 0wins ·0 draws ·Los Angeles FC 1wins

Real Salt Lake 1-3 Los Angeles FCJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Salt Lake win49.7%

Draw18.8%

Los Angeles FC win31.5%

Over 1.5 goals96.8%

Over 2.5 goals88.3%

Over 3.5 goals74.8%

Both teams to score84.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.584.5%

Goal in Both Halves84.5%

Home or Away (12)82.0%

Home or Draw (1X)67.7%

Draw No Bet - Home61.0%

Home Win50.0%

Draw or Away (X2)49.7%

Draw No Bet - Away39.0%

Away Win32.0%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals88.1%

Over 3.5 Goals74.6%

4+ Goals74.6%

Under 5.5 Goals60.1%

Over 4.5 Goals57.4%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals42.6%

Over 5.5 Goals39.9%

2-4 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals30.6%

Under 3.5 Goals25.4%

1-3 Goals24.5%

2-3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

Under 2.5 Goals11.9%

1-2 Goals11.0%

Exactly 2 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.7%

Away Team to Score89.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.8%

Home Clean Sheet10.2%

Home Win to Nil9.6%

Away Clean Sheet6.0%

Away Win to Nil5.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.7%

Away Over 0.589.5%

Home Over 1.576.9%

Away Over 1.566.3%

Home Over 2.553.2%

Home 3+ Goals53.2%

Away Over 2.539.8%

Away 3+ Goals39.8%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 223.7%

Away Exactly 123.2%

Home Exactly 116.8%

Away Exactly 010.2%

Home Exactly 06.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away67.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home32.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.3%

Home to win by 3+18.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 114.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 29.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.4%

Away to win by 3+8.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.2%

Home & Over 2.545.9%

Home & BTTS40.5%

Away & Over 2.529.0%

Away & BTTS26.6%

Draw & BTTS17.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.2%

Home & No BTTS9.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Away & No BTTS5.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.5%

Home & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Over 1.566.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score46.2%

HT Home Win41.9%

HT Under 1.533.2%

HT/FT Home/Home32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win30.0%

HT Draw28.1%

HT/FT Away/Away19.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.4%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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