USA · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC

● LIVE 22' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

92% confidence

Real Salt Lake 92.1% Draw 5.9% Minnesota United FC 2.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 9.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Real Salt Lake: 8 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.9%

Exact-score model probability

Real Salt Lake

D L L D W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.33

Minnesota United FC

D D L D L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:7 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 1

Real Salt Lake 0wins ·1 draws ·Minnesota United FC 0wins

Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FCMay 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Salt Lake win92.1%

Draw5.9%

Minnesota United FC win2.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.6%

Over 2.5 goals85.8%

Over 3.5 goals70.5%

Both teams to score48.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 8.5 Corners

90.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners

90.0%

Home Win

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home97.5%

Home or Draw (1X)95.0%

Home or Away (12)92.1%

Home Win89.9%

Both Halves Over 0.582.6%

Goal in Both Halves82.6%

Draw or Away (X2)7.4%

Draw5.2%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Draw No Bet - Away2.5%

Away Win2.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals92.7%

Over 2.5 Goals83.5%

Over 3.5 Goals68.6%

4+ Goals68.6%

Under 5.5 Goals66.9%

Over 4.5 Goals50.6%

Under 4.5 Goals49.4%

Total Goals Even48.8%

Total Goals Odd48.5%

2-4 Goals42.1%

Over 5.5 Goals33.1%

3-4 Goals32.9%

Under 3.5 Goals31.4%

1-3 Goals27.9%

2-3 Goals24.1%

Under 2.5 Goals16.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.9%

1-2 Goals13.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.2%

Under 1.5 Goals7.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.7%

Home Clean Sheet49.3%

Home Win to Nil48.5%

Away Team to Score48.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.5%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.589.3%

Home Over 2.575.9%

Home 3+ Goals75.9%

Away Exactly 049.3%

Away Over 0.548.1%

Away Exactly 133.5%

Away Over 1.514.5%

Home Exactly 213.4%

Away Exactly 211.4%

Home Exactly 16.4%

Away Over 2.53.1%

Away 3+ Goals3.1%

Home Exactly 01.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)89.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)82.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home79.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away69.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)63.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home63.2%

Home to win by 3+63.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away52.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home44.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away34.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home27.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away18.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 216.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home14.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw13.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 110.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away7.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.7%

Away to win by 11.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 20.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.8%

Home & No BTTS48.5%

BTTS & Over 2.545.1%

Home & BTTS41.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.538.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Home & Under 2.510.1%

Draw & BTTS4.4%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.2%

Away & Over 2.51.6%

Away & BTTS1.5%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Home Win76.0%

HT/FT Home/Home74.5%

HT Over 1.564.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Under 1.535.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score22.3%

HT Draw18.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.2%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT Away Win5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Away/Away1.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners90.0%

Away Over 4.5 Corners90.0%

Over 9.5 Corners83.4%

Away Most Corners75.7%

Over 10.5 Corners74.8%

Over 11.5 Corners64.7%

Home Over 4.5 Corners56.0%

Under 11.5 Corners35.3%

Under 10.5 Corners25.2%

Under 9.5 Corners16.6%

Home Most Corners16.4%

Under 8.5 Corners10.0%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards87.9%

Under 4.5 Cards75.6%

Over 2.5 Cards64.7%

Under 3.5 Cards57.3%

Over 3.5 Cards42.7%

Under 2.5 Cards35.3%

Over 4.5 Cards24.4%

Over 0.5 Red Cards13.3%

Over 5.5 Cards12.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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