USA · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC

● LIVE 23' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Real Salt Lake 41.3% Draw 18.6% New York City FC 40.1%

Over 2.5 - 90% BTTS - 87%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to New York City FC: 2 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Real Salt Lake

L D L L L D

Form 0-2-4 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

New York City FC

L D D D L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Salt Lake win41.3%

Draw18.6%

New York City FC win40.1%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.3%

Over 3.5 goals78.3%

Both teams to score87.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.1%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.3%

Goal in Both Halves86.3%

Home or Away (12)82.0%

Home or Draw (1X)59.3%

Draw or Away (X2)58.0%

Draw No Bet - Home50.7%

Draw No Bet - Away49.3%

Home Win41.6%

Away Win40.4%

Draw17.7%

Exactly 1 Goal2.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.2%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals90.0%

Over 3.5 Goals78.0%

4+ Goals78.0%

Over 4.5 Goals61.9%

Under 5.5 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 5.5 Goals44.5%

Under 4.5 Goals38.1%

2-4 Goals34.8%

3-4 Goals28.1%

Under 3.5 Goals22.0%

1-3 Goals21.2%

2-3 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals12.0%

Under 2.5 Goals10.0%

1-2 Goals9.2%

Exactly 2 Goals6.7%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals0.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score92.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)86.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)13.5%

Home Clean Sheet6.9%

Away Clean Sheet6.7%

Home Win to Nil6.5%

Away Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Away Over 0.592.7%

Home Over 1.574.9%

Away Over 1.574.2%

Home Over 2.550.5%

Home 3+ Goals50.5%

Away Over 2.549.6%

Away 3+ Goals49.6%

Away Exactly 224.6%

Home Exactly 224.4%

Away Exactly 118.5%

Home Exactly 118.1%

Away Exactly 06.9%

Home Exactly 06.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away24.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.0%

Home to win by 116.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.8%

Away to win by 115.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.7%

Home to win by 3+13.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away13.0%

Away to win by 3+13.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.9%

Home to win by 211.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.583.1%

Home & Over 2.538.6%

Away & Over 2.537.5%

Home & BTTS35.1%

Away & BTTS34.2%

Draw & BTTS17.2%

Draw & Over 2.513.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.8%

Home & No BTTS6.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS6.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.8%

BTTS & Under 2.53.3%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Away & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.1%

HT Over 1.569.5%

2nd Half More Goals50.3%

HT Both Teams Score49.2%

HT Home Win36.6%

HT Away Win35.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.530.5%

HT Draw27.5%

HT/FT Home/Home26.7%

HT/FT Away/Away25.8%

Equal Goals Each Half17.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.3%

HT Under 0.58.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners79.5%

Under 10.5 Corners69.6%

Away Most Corners59.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners58.8%

Under 9.5 Corners57.6%

Over 8.5 Corners55.5%

Under 8.5 Corners44.5%

Over 9.5 Corners42.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners35.5%

Over 10.5 Corners30.4%

Home Most Corners27.9%

Over 11.5 Corners20.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards85.3%

Over 3.5 Cards69.8%

Under 5.5 Cards66.0%

Over 4.5 Cards51.5%

Under 4.5 Cards48.5%

Over 5.5 Cards34.0%

Under 3.5 Cards30.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.0%

Under 2.5 Cards14.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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