USA · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes

● LIVE 24' · 0:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Real Salt Lake 42.2% Draw 20.3% San Jose Earthquakes 37.5%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to San Jose Earthquakes: 5 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Real Salt Lake

W D L L L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

San Jose Earthquakes

D W W W D D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Salt Lake win42.2%

Draw20.3%

San Jose Earthquakes win37.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.4%

Over 2.5 goals84.7%

Over 3.5 goals68.9%

Both teams to score82.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.9%

Home Over 0.5

90.9%

Away Team to Score

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.3%

Goal in Both Halves81.3%

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Home or Draw (1X)61.7%

Draw or Away (X2)57.1%

Draw No Bet - Home52.8%

Draw No Bet - Away47.2%

Home Win42.7%

Away Win38.2%

Draw18.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals84.6%

Over 3.5 Goals68.8%

4+ Goals68.8%

Under 5.5 Goals67.0%

Over 4.5 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals49.7%

2-4 Goals44.3%

3-4 Goals34.3%

Over 5.5 Goals33.0%

Under 3.5 Goals31.2%

1-3 Goals30.1%

2-3 Goals25.8%

Exactly 3 Goals15.8%

Under 2.5 Goals15.4%

1-2 Goals14.3%

Exactly 2 Goals10.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.9%

Away Team to Score89.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.4%

Home Clean Sheet10.2%

Home Win to Nil9.3%

Away Clean Sheet8.9%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.9%

Away Over 0.589.7%

Home Over 1.569.3%

Away Over 1.566.4%

Home Over 2.543.3%

Home 3+ Goals43.3%

Away Over 2.539.9%

Away 3+ Goals39.9%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 123.2%

Home Exactly 121.6%

Away Exactly 010.2%

Home Exactly 08.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)57.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away57.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 117.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.0%

Home to win by 3+13.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 212.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.2%

Away to win by 211.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.7%

Away to win by 3+10.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.6%

Home & Over 2.537.9%

Away & Over 2.533.7%

Home & BTTS33.5%

Away & BTTS30.1%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

Home & No BTTS9.3%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & Under 2.54.9%

Away & Under 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.9%

HT Over 1.562.4%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Both Teams Score42.5%

HT Under 1.537.6%

HT Home Win36.6%

HT Away Win33.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.8%

HT/FT Home/Home27.1%

HT/FT Away/Away23.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.6%

HT Under 0.512.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.9%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners83.9%

Away Over 4.5 Corners79.4%

Over 9.5 Corners75.0%

Over 10.5 Corners64.4%

Away Most Corners60.4%

Home Over 4.5 Corners60.2%

Over 11.5 Corners52.9%

Under 11.5 Corners47.1%

Under 10.5 Corners35.6%

Home Most Corners28.8%

Under 9.5 Corners25.0%

Under 8.5 Corners16.1%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards83.6%

Under 5.5 Cards68.9%

Over 3.5 Cards67.2%

Under 4.5 Cards51.6%

Over 4.5 Cards48.4%

Under 3.5 Cards32.8%

Over 5.5 Cards31.1%

Over 0.5 Red Cards18.3%

Under 2.5 Cards16.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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