USA · Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City

Full time · 3:0

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

69% confidence

Real Salt Lake 15.5% Draw 15.1% St. Louis City 69.4%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 79%

✓ Pick was correct (3:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to St. Louis City: 8 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.8%

Exact-score model probability

Real Salt Lake

W D W D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

St. Louis City

D W W D W D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 1

Real Salt Lake 0wins ·1 draws ·St. Louis City 0wins

Real Salt Lake 1-1 St. Louis CityAug 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Salt Lake win15.5%

Draw15.1%

St. Louis City win69.4%

Over 1.5 goals96.7%

Over 2.5 goals88.1%

Over 3.5 goals74.5%

Both teams to score79.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 8.5 Corners

90.4%

HT Over 0.5

89.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.2%

Both Halves Over 0.584.4%

Goal in Both Halves84.4%

Draw or Away (X2)83.3%

Draw No Bet - Away81.4%

Away Win69.3%

Home or Draw (1X)29.8%

Draw No Bet - Home18.6%

Home Win15.8%

Draw14.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals87.4%

Over 3.5 Goals73.8%

4+ Goals73.8%

Under 5.5 Goals60.9%

Over 4.5 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals43.4%

Over 5.5 Goals39.1%

2-4 Goals38.8%

3-4 Goals30.8%

Under 3.5 Goals26.2%

1-3 Goals24.7%

2-3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals13.6%

Under 2.5 Goals12.6%

1-2 Goals11.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.0%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.8%

Home Team to Score80.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)78.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)21.8%

Away Clean Sheet18.2%

Away Win to Nil17.6%

Home Clean Sheet3.4%

Home Win to Nil2.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.8%

Away Over 1.584.4%

Home Over 0.580.9%

Away Over 2.565.0%

Away 3+ Goals65.0%

Home Over 1.550.0%

Home Exactly 130.9%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Home Over 2.523.9%

Home 3+ Goals23.9%

Away Exactly 219.4%

Home Exactly 018.2%

Away Exactly 111.4%

Away Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home65.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away51.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home47.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)34.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away34.0%

Away to win by 3+34.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 117.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.8%

Home to win by 18.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.6%

Home to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.6%

Away & Over 2.563.7%

Away & BTTS51.7%

Away & No BTTS17.6%

Home & Over 2.513.9%

Draw & BTTS13.4%

Home & BTTS13.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.2%

Away & Under 2.55.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Home & No BTTS2.7%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Over 1.566.6%

HT Away Win55.5%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT/FT Away/Away49.5%

HT Both Teams Score41.7%

HT Under 1.533.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.8%

HT Home Win18.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.3%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT/FT Home/Home9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

Corners (12)

Away Over 4.5 Corners93.9%

Over 8.5 Corners90.4%

Away Most Corners87.4%

Over 9.5 Corners84.0%

Over 10.5 Corners75.5%

Over 11.5 Corners65.5%

Home Over 4.5 Corners42.0%

Under 11.5 Corners34.5%

Under 10.5 Corners24.5%

Under 9.5 Corners16.0%

Under 8.5 Corners9.6%

Home Most Corners7.6%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards86.8%

Over 3.5 Cards72.3%

Under 5.5 Cards63.1%

Over 4.5 Cards54.5%

Under 4.5 Cards45.5%

Over 5.5 Cards36.9%

Under 3.5 Cards27.7%

Over 0.5 Red Cards19.7%

Under 2.5 Cards13.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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