UEFA Europa League

Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Real Sociedad 23.5% Draw 18.5% Bournemouth 58.0%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 80%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Real Sociedad

L W D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Bournemouth

D W D D L D

Form 1-4-1 Goals 11:8 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Sociedad win23.5%

Draw18.5%

Bournemouth win58.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.6%

Over 2.5 goals85.1%

Over 3.5 goals69.5%

Both teams to score80.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

88.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

87.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)82.5%

Both Halves Over 0.581.6%

Goal in Both Halves81.6%

Draw or Away (X2)75.7%

Draw No Bet - Away70.9%

Away Win58.5%

Home or Draw (1X)41.2%

Draw No Bet - Home29.1%

Home Win24.0%

Draw17.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals84.8%

Over 3.5 Goals69.2%

4+ Goals69.2%

Under 5.5 Goals66.6%

Over 4.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals49.2%

2-4 Goals43.8%

3-4 Goals34.0%

Over 5.5 Goals33.4%

Under 3.5 Goals30.8%

1-3 Goals29.6%

2-3 Goals25.4%

Exactly 3 Goals15.6%

Under 2.5 Goals15.2%

1-2 Goals14.0%

Exactly 2 Goals9.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.0%

Home Team to Score84.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)79.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)20.5%

Away Clean Sheet15.4%

Away Win to Nil14.6%

Home Clean Sheet5.7%

Home Win to Nil4.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.0%

Home Over 0.584.3%

Away Over 1.577.7%

Home Over 1.555.4%

Away Over 2.554.4%

Away 3+ Goals54.4%

Home Exactly 128.8%

Home Over 2.528.6%

Home 3+ Goals28.6%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Away Exactly 116.3%

Home Exactly 015.4%

Away Exactly 05.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away87.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home41.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.3%

Away to win by 3+23.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 118.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 216.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 112.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.9%

Home to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.9%

Home to win by 3+4.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.574.7%

Away & Over 2.552.4%

Away & BTTS43.9%

Home & Over 2.520.8%

Home & BTTS19.2%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Away & No BTTS14.6%

Draw & Over 2.511.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

Away & Under 2.56.1%

Draw & Under 2.55.6%

Home & No BTTS4.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Home & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.1%

HT Over 1.562.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Away Win47.1%

HT Both Teams Score41.2%

HT/FT Away/Away39.4%

HT Under 1.537.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.7%

HT Home Win24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.4%

HT/FT Home/Home14.3%

HT Under 0.511.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Away5.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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