Spain · La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo La Coruna

Kick-off 15:15 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Real Sociedad 48.3% Draw 25.7% Deportivo La Coruna 26.0%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

75%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 6.4%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Real Sociedad: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.4%

Exact-score model probability

Real Sociedad

W L W D W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Deportivo La Coruna

D L D W W D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Sociedad win48.3%

Draw25.7%

Deportivo La Coruna win26.0%

Over 1.5 goals74.8%

Over 2.5 goals49.8%

Over 3.5 goals27.8%

Both teams to score81.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Home or Away (12)83.4%

Draw or Away (X2)77.7%

Draw No Bet - Away73.9%

Away Win61.6%

Home or Draw (1X)37.9%

Draw No Bet - Home26.1%

Home Win21.8%

Draw16.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals86.8%

Over 3.5 Goals72.6%

4+ Goals72.6%

Under 5.5 Goals62.6%

Over 4.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 4.5 Goals45.0%

2-4 Goals40.4%

Over 5.5 Goals37.4%

3-4 Goals31.8%

Under 3.5 Goals27.4%

1-3 Goals26.2%

2-3 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

Under 2.5 Goals13.2%

1-2 Goals12.0%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.0%

Home Team to Score84.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)80.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)19.4%

Away Clean Sheet15.1%

Away Win to Nil14.4%

Home Clean Sheet4.6%

Home Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 0.584.4%

Away Over 1.580.9%

Away Over 2.559.1%

Away 3+ Goals59.1%

Home Over 1.556.0%

Home Over 2.529.1%

Home 3+ Goals29.1%

Home Exactly 128.5%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 015.1%

Away Exactly 114.1%

Away Exactly 04.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away89.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away77.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)73.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home73.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)56.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home56.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)37.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home37.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away26.5%

Away to win by 3+26.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 216.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 111.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home10.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw7.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.2%

Home to win by 26.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.3%

Home to win by 3+4.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.8%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.5%

Away & Over 2.556.1%

Away & BTTS47.2%

Home & Over 2.519.3%

Home & BTTS17.9%

Draw & BTTS15.5%

Away & No BTTS14.4%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

Draw & Under 2.54.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Home & No BTTS3.9%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Over 1.565.4%

HT Away Win49.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score42.9%

HT/FT Away/Away42.3%

HT Under 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw27.5%

HT Home Win22.9%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.5%

HT/FT Home/Home12.9%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.4%

HT/FT Home/Away5.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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