Spain · La Liga

Real Sociedad vs Levante

Full time · 2:1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Real Sociedad 57.6% Draw 21.1% Levante 21.3%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 76%

✓ Pick was correct (2:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Real Sociedad: 13 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.4%

Exact-score model probability

Real Sociedad

W W W L W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:11 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.83

Levante

W D D L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:12 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 4

Real Sociedad 2wins ·1 draws ·Levante 1wins

Real Sociedad 2-0 LevanteApr 4, 2026

Real Sociedad 1-1 LevanteDec 20, 2025

Real Sociedad 1-2 LevanteMay 6, 2022

Real Sociedad 1-0 LevanteAug 28, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Real Sociedad win57.6%

Draw21.1%

Levante win21.3%

Over 1.5 goals86.1%

Over 2.5 goals66.7%

Over 3.5 goals44.9%

Both teams to score76.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.5%

Home or Draw (1X)79.2%

Draw No Bet - Home74.2%

Both Halves Over 0.569.2%

Goal in Both Halves69.2%

Home Win59.7%

Draw or Away (X2)40.2%

Draw No Bet - Away25.8%

Away Win20.8%

Draw19.5%

Exactly 1 Goal9.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.4%

Under 5.5 Goals84.4%

Under 4.5 Goals70.6%

Over 2.5 Goals69.7%

2-4 Goals58.0%

Under 3.5 Goals51.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals48.7%

Over 3.5 Goals48.5%

4+ Goals48.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals38.9%

Under 2.5 Goals30.3%

Over 4.5 Goals29.4%

1-2 Goals27.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.7%

Over 5.5 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals12.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score72.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.5%

Home Clean Sheet27.1%

Home Win to Nil24.4%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 0.572.8%

Home Over 1.566.9%

Home Over 2.540.4%

Home 3+ Goals40.4%

Away Over 1.537.4%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 027.1%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Home Exactly 123.0%

Away Over 2.514.4%

Away 3+ Goals14.4%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.7%

Home to win by 121.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.3%

Home to win by 3+20.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.3%

Away to win by 112.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 25.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.4%

Home & Over 2.546.2%

Home & BTTS35.3%

Home & No BTTS24.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.0%

Draw & BTTS16.7%

Away & Over 2.514.9%

Home & Under 2.513.5%

Away & BTTS13.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.4%

Draw & Under 2.510.9%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.2%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

Away & Under 2.55.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.3%

HT Under 1.551.8%

HT Over 1.548.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Home Win45.8%

HT/FT Home/Home39.2%

HT Draw33.7%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Away Win20.5%

HT Under 0.519.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away11.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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