Spain · Copa del Rey

Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano

Kick-off 21:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Recreativo Huelva 70.6% Draw 16.9% Rayo Vallecano 12.5%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.5%

Exact-score model probability

Recreativo Huelva

No recent results stored yet

Rayo Vallecano

L D D W L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Recreativo Huelva win70.6%

Draw16.9%

Rayo Vallecano win12.5%

Over 1.5 goals91.8%

Over 2.5 goals76.4%

Over 3.5 goals57.0%

Both teams to score66.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Home or Draw (1X)

86.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

86.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.5%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Draw No Bet - Home84.3%

Both Halves Over 0.574.5%

Goal in Both Halves74.5%

Home Win71.2%

Draw or Away (X2)28.5%

Draw No Bet - Away15.7%

Draw15.3%

Away Win13.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals78.4%

Over 2.5 Goals76.2%

Under 4.5 Goals62.7%

Over 3.5 Goals56.8%

4+ Goals56.8%

2-4 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals43.2%

1-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals39.0%

Over 4.5 Goals37.3%

2-3 Goals33.9%

Under 2.5 Goals23.8%

1-2 Goals21.7%

Over 5.5 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.5%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.9%

Away Team to Score69.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.8%

Home Clean Sheet30.4%

Home Win to Nil28.6%

Away Clean Sheet5.9%

Away Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.9%

Home Over 1.577.2%

Away Over 0.569.3%

Home Over 2.553.6%

Home 3+ Goals53.6%

Away Exactly 136.1%

Away Over 1.533.2%

Away Exactly 030.4%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 221.5%

Home Exactly 116.7%

Away Over 2.511.8%

Away 3+ Goals11.8%

Home Exactly 05.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.6%

Home to win by 3+31.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 18.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 23.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.2%

Home & Over 2.558.9%

Home & BTTS42.6%

Home & No BTTS28.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.0%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

Away & Over 2.59.9%

Away & BTTS9.2%

Draw & Under 2.57.8%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Away & No BTTS4.1%

Away & Under 2.53.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.6%

HT Home Win54.8%

HT Over 1.554.0%

HT/FT Home/Home49.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.546.0%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score29.8%

HT Draw29.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.5%

HT Under 0.516.4%

HT Away Win15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.5%

HT/FT Away/Away7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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