UEFA Europa League

Red Bull Salzburg vs Mjallby AIF

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Red Bull Salzburg 62.4% Draw 24.0% Mjallby AIF 13.6%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Red Bull Salzburg: 7 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

Red Bull Salzburg

W D W

Form 2-1-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

Mjallby AIF

L L L D W

Form 1-1-3 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Red Bull Salzburg 1wins ·0 draws ·Mjallby AIF 0wins

Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 Mjallby AIFAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Red Bull Salzburg win62.4%

Draw24.0%

Mjallby AIF win13.6%

Over 1.5 goals76.8%

Over 2.5 goals51.0%

Over 3.5 goals29.0%

Both teams to score48.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

86.1%

Home Team to Score

85.3%

Home Over 0.5

85.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.0%

Draw No Bet - Home81.0%

Home or Away (12)78.6%

Home Win63.7%

Both Halves Over 0.554.7%

Goal in Both Halves54.7%

Draw or Away (X2)36.3%

Draw21.4%

Draw No Bet - Away19.0%

Exactly 1 Goal18.0%

Away Win14.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.2%

Over 0.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals86.1%

Over 1.5 Goals75.4%

Under 3.5 Goals71.1%

1-3 Goals64.4%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals49.0%

2-3 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals42.3%

3-4 Goals37.1%

Over 3.5 Goals28.9%

4+ Goals28.9%

Under 1.5 Goals24.6%

Exactly 2 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 0 Goals6.6%

Over 5.5 Goals5.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.3%

Away Team to Score55.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.0%

Home Clean Sheet44.9%

Home Win to Nil38.3%

Away Clean Sheet14.7%

Away Win to Nil8.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.3%

Home Over 1.557.1%

Away Over 0.555.1%

Away Exactly 044.9%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 2.530.1%

Home 3+ Goals30.1%

Home Exactly 128.2%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Over 1.519.1%

Home Exactly 014.7%

Away Exactly 214.4%

Away Over 2.54.7%

Away 3+ Goals4.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)63.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away36.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.2%

Home to win by 125.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 219.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.8%

Home to win by 3+18.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 110.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 23.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.538.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.8%

Home & No BTTS38.3%

BTTS & Over 2.536.8%

Home & BTTS25.4%

Home & Under 2.524.8%

Draw & Under 2.516.7%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.2%

BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Away & No BTTS8.1%

Away & Over 2.57.5%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

Away & BTTS6.8%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.6%

HT Under 1.565.4%

HT Home Win46.0%

2nd Half More Goals43.5%

HT/FT Home/Home41.1%

HT Draw39.3%

HT Over 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.4%

Equal Goals Each Half25.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.9%

HT Both Teams Score17.5%

HT Away Win14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.4%

HT/FT Away/Away8.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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