UEFA Europa League

Red Bull Salzburg vs Pafos

Full time · 1:0

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

42% confidence

Red Bull Salzburg 42.0% Draw 30.0% Pafos 28.0%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 51%

✗ Pick missed (1:0)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring potential

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Salzburg home advantage

80%

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate is high

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg has a strong home record, but Pafos can cause an upset. With key players like Noah Okafor and Karim Konate, Salzburg has an attacking threat. Pafos' recent form shows they can score, making BTTS a possibility. The pi-rating differential is small, indicating an evenly matched game. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 70.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring potential

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

70.1%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Pafos high-scoring games

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Red Bull Salzburg

No recent results stored yet

Pafos

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Red Bull Salzburg win42.0%

Draw30.0%

Pafos win28.0%

Over 1.5 goals70.1%

Over 2.5 goals50.1%

Over 3.5 goals21.4%

Both teams to score50.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

90.8%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

87.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.2%

Home or Draw (1X)67.9%

Draw or Away (X2)59.9%

Draw No Bet - Home55.6%

Both Halves Over 0.547.7%

Goal in Both Halves47.7%

Draw No Bet - Away44.4%

Home Win40.1%

Away Win32.1%

Draw27.8%

Exactly 1 Goal22.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.6%

Under 4.5 Goals90.8%

Over 0.5 Goals90.6%

Under 3.5 Goals78.6%

1-3 Goals69.2%

Over 1.5 Goals68.4%

2-4 Goals59.2%

Under 2.5 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals48.5%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals42.1%

3-4 Goals33.0%

Under 1.5 Goals31.6%

Exactly 2 Goals26.3%

Over 3.5 Goals21.4%

4+ Goals21.4%

Exactly 3 Goals20.7%

Under 0.5 Goals9.4%

Exactly 0 Goals9.4%

Over 4.5 Goals9.2%

Over 5.5 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score71.8%

Away Team to Score66.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.9%

Home Clean Sheet33.3%

Away Clean Sheet28.2%

Home Win to Nil23.9%

Away Win to Nil18.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.571.8%

Away Over 0.566.7%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Over 1.536.1%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Exactly 033.3%

Away Over 1.530.1%

Home Exactly 028.2%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 220.1%

Home Over 2.513.5%

Home 3+ Goals13.5%

Away Over 2.510.0%

Away 3+ Goals10.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)87.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home87.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)59.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away59.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)40.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.3%

Home to win by 122.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 119.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away12.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 28.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.2%

Home to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.9%

Away to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.544.8%

BTTS & Over 2.534.8%

Home & No BTTS23.9%

Draw & Under 2.522.5%

Home & Over 2.520.7%

Home & Under 2.519.4%

Away & No BTTS18.8%

Draw & BTTS18.4%

Home & BTTS16.2%

Away & Over 2.516.1%

Away & Under 2.516.0%

Away & BTTS13.3%

BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.571.2%

HT Over 0.565.5%

HT Draw44.9%

2nd Half More Goals41.9%

HT Under 0.534.5%

1st Half More Goals30.4%

HT Home Win30.0%

HT Over 1.528.8%

Equal Goals Each Half27.7%

HT Away Win25.1%

HT/FT Home/Home23.4%

HT/FT Away/Away18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.0%

HT Both Teams Score16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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