Brazil · Serie A

Remo vs Atletico-MG

Kick-off 22:30 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Remo 33.2% Draw 26.2% Atletico-MG 40.6%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 69%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Atletico-MG: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.6%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

69%

Market does not fully agree

Remo

L W L W L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Atletico-MG

W D L W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

🏥 Remo unavailable

Ze Ivaldo · Suspended

Gabriel Poveda · Inactive

Marllon · Red Card

D. Tchamba · Injury

🏥 Atletico-MG unavailable

L. Duarte · Hamstring Injury

Patrick Silva · Knee Injury

📈 Probability Breakdown

Remo win33.2%

Draw26.2%

Atletico-MG win40.6%

Over 1.5 goals83.7%

Over 2.5 goals61.2%

Over 3.5 goals38.9%

Both teams to score64.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.5%

Draw or Away (X2)65.4%

Both Halves Over 0.562.6%

Goal in Both Halves62.6%

Home or Draw (1X)58.1%

Draw No Bet - Away54.8%

Draw No Bet - Home45.2%

Away Win41.9%

Home Win34.6%

Draw23.5%

Exactly 1 Goal13.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Under 5.5 Goals89.9%

Over 1.5 Goals82.4%

Under 4.5 Goals78.7%

Over 2.5 Goals61.2%

Under 3.5 Goals61.1%

2-4 Goals61.1%

1-3 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.5%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Over 3.5 Goals38.9%

4+ Goals38.9%

Under 2.5 Goals38.8%

1-2 Goals34.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.2%

Under 1.5 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score81.1%

Home Team to Score77.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.1%

Away Clean Sheet22.4%

Home Clean Sheet18.9%

Away Win to Nil18.2%

Home Win to Nil14.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.581.1%

Home Over 0.577.6%

Away Over 1.549.6%

Home Over 1.544.0%

Home Exactly 133.5%

Away Exactly 131.5%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 225.1%

Away Over 2.523.4%

Away 3+ Goals23.4%

Home Exactly 022.4%

Home Over 2.519.0%

Home 3+ Goals19.0%

Away Exactly 018.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home58.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)41.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 118.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.6%

Away to win by 212.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.1%

Home to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.0%

Away to win by 3+9.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.2%

Home to win by 3+6.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.552.4%

Away & Over 2.529.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.2%

Away & BTTS23.7%

Home & Over 2.523.5%

Home & BTTS19.9%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS18.2%

Draw & Under 2.514.8%

Home & No BTTS14.6%

Away & Under 2.512.9%

Home & Under 2.511.1%

BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.9%

HT Under 1.558.4%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.6%

HT Draw37.9%

HT Away Win33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Home Win28.7%

HT Both Teams Score25.8%

HT/FT Away/Away25.5%

HT Under 0.524.1%

Equal Goals Each Half23.3%

HT/FT Home/Home20.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Remo

Ze Ivaldo Suspended

Gabriel Poveda Inactive

Marllon Red Card

D. Tchamba Injury

Joao Lucas Knee Injury

Patrick de Paula Groin Injury

David Braga Inactive

Atletico-MG

L. Duarte Hamstring Injury

Patrick Silva Knee Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Remo win10%

Draw45%

Atletico-MG win45%

AdviceDouble chance : draw or Atletico-MG

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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