Brazil · Serie A

Remo vs Gremio

Kick-off 23:30 · Wed, Oct 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

Remo 66.1% Draw 18.4% Gremio 15.5%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 84.5% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 15.5% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Gremio: 1 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

84.5%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

15.5%

Only the uncovered result loses

Remo

L L L L L D

Form 0-1-5 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Gremio

D L L L W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Remo win66.1%

Draw18.4%

Gremio win15.5%

Over 1.5 goals91.6%

Over 2.5 goals76.0%

Over 3.5 goals56.3%

Both teams to score68.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

85.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)83.5%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Draw No Bet - Home80.4%

Both Halves Over 0.574.1%

Goal in Both Halves74.1%

Home Win66.8%

Draw or Away (X2)33.0%

Draw No Bet - Away19.6%

Draw16.7%

Away Win16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal7.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals90.6%

Under 5.5 Goals78.9%

Over 2.5 Goals75.8%

Under 4.5 Goals63.3%

Over 3.5 Goals56.2%

4+ Goals56.2%

2-4 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals43.8%

1-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals39.1%

Over 4.5 Goals36.7%

2-3 Goals34.3%

Under 2.5 Goals24.2%

1-2 Goals22.1%

Over 5.5 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals14.7%

Under 1.5 Goals9.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.0%

Away Team to Score72.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.4%

Home Clean Sheet27.3%

Home Win to Nil25.5%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 1.574.8%

Away Over 0.572.5%

Home Over 2.550.2%

Home 3+ Goals50.2%

Away Over 1.537.1%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 027.3%

Home Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 222.9%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Over 2.514.2%

Away 3+ Goals14.2%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)85.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away85.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.4%

Home to win by 3+27.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 120.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 218.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 19.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 24.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.1%

Away to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.1%

Home & Over 2.555.1%

Home & BTTS41.3%

Home & No BTTS25.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.5%

Draw & BTTS14.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.7%

Away & Over 2.512.3%

Home & Under 2.511.7%

Away & BTTS11.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.4%

Draw & Under 2.58.3%

BTTS & Under 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.4%

HT Over 1.553.5%

HT Home Win51.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.5%

HT/FT Home/Home45.6%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score31.0%

HT Draw30.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.4%

HT Away Win17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.0%

HT Under 0.516.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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