France · Ligue 1

Rennes vs Auxerre

Kick-off 16:15 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Rennes 60.5% Draw 22.1% Auxerre 17.4%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Rennes: 13 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Rennes

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Auxerre

W W L L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Rennes 1wins ·2 draws ·Auxerre 2wins

Rennes 3-0 AuxerreFeb 22, 2026

Rennes 2-2 AuxerreOct 19, 2025

Rennes 0-1 AuxerreApr 6, 2025

Rennes 0-4 AuxerreNov 3, 2024

Rennes 0-0 AuxerreMar 11, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rennes win60.5%

Draw22.1%

Auxerre win17.4%

Over 1.5 goals81.6%

Over 2.5 goals96.5%

Over 3.5 goals36.6%

Both teams to score89.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.586.7%

Goal in Both Halves86.7%

Home or Away (12)84.8%

Home or Draw (1X)80.9%

Draw No Bet - Home78.7%

Home Win66.7%

Draw or Away (X2)32.3%

Draw No Bet - Away21.3%

Away Win18.1%

Draw14.2%

Exactly 1 Goal2.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals96.2%

Over 2.5 Goals89.7%

Over 3.5 Goals78.1%

4+ Goals78.1%

Over 4.5 Goals62.2%

Under 5.5 Goals55.0%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals45.0%

Under 4.5 Goals37.8%

2-4 Goals33.9%

3-4 Goals27.5%

Under 3.5 Goals21.9%

1-3 Goals20.5%

2-3 Goals18.1%

Exactly 3 Goals11.7%

Under 2.5 Goals10.3%

1-2 Goals8.8%

Exactly 2 Goals6.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score84.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.0%

Home Clean Sheet14.4%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.585.5%

Away Over 0.584.6%

Home Over 2.567.0%

Home 3+ Goals67.0%

Away Over 1.556.9%

Away Over 2.530.1%

Away 3+ Goals30.1%

Away Exactly 127.7%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 218.4%

Away Exactly 014.4%

Home Exactly 110.5%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away80.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)66.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away66.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.5%

Home to win by 3+32.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 216.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.5%

Away to win by 19.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.1%

Away to win by 25.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.5%

Away to win by 3+3.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.1%

Home & Over 2.562.5%

Home & BTTS52.7%

Away & Over 2.516.4%

Away & BTTS15.5%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

Draw & BTTS13.8%

Draw & Over 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Under 2.53.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.3%

HT Over 1.570.2%

HT Home Win54.1%

2nd Half More Goals50.4%

HT/FT Home/Home47.4%

HT Both Teams Score46.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.529.8%

HT Draw25.3%

HT Away Win20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Away/Away10.7%

HT Under 0.58.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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