France · Ligue 1

Rennes vs Lille

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Nov 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Rennes 37.4% Draw 28.9% Lille 33.7%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rennes: 13 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

Rennes

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Lille

D W D L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Rennes 1wins ·1 draws ·Lille 3wins

Rennes 1-2 LilleMar 15, 2026

Rennes 2-0 LilleJan 3, 2026

Rennes 0-2 LilleFeb 16, 2025

Rennes 0-1 LilleNov 24, 2024

Rennes 2-2 LilleMar 10, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rennes win37.4%

Draw28.9%

Lille win33.7%

Over 1.5 goals71.6%

Over 2.5 goals81.0%

Over 3.5 goals23.7%

Both teams to score61.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

88.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

86.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.5%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Draw No Bet - Home81.5%

Both Halves Over 0.571.4%

Goal in Both Halves71.4%

Home Win67.5%

Draw or Away (X2)32.3%

Draw No Bet - Away18.5%

Draw17.0%

Away Win15.4%

Exactly 1 Goal8.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals88.9%

Under 5.5 Goals82.1%

Over 2.5 Goals72.5%

Under 4.5 Goals67.5%

2-4 Goals56.3%

Over 3.5 Goals52.0%

4+ Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals48.0%

1-3 Goals45.6%

3-4 Goals40.0%

2-3 Goals36.9%

Over 4.5 Goals32.5%

Under 2.5 Goals27.5%

1-2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals20.6%

Over 5.5 Goals17.9%

Exactly 2 Goals16.4%

Under 1.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.4%

Away Team to Score69.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.0%

Home Clean Sheet30.6%

Home Win to Nil28.3%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil5.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 1.572.9%

Away Over 0.569.2%

Home Over 2.547.8%

Home 3+ Goals47.8%

Away Exactly 136.2%

Away Over 1.533.0%

Away Exactly 030.6%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 221.4%

Home Exactly 119.4%

Away Over 2.511.6%

Away 3+ Goals11.6%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away32.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.1%

Home to win by 3+27.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 121.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 219.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 24.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.7%

Away to win by 3+1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.0%

Home & Over 2.553.9%

Home & BTTS39.2%

Home & No BTTS28.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.5%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

Away & Over 2.511.0%

Away & BTTS10.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.3%

Draw & Over 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Away & No BTTS5.2%

Away & Under 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.7%

HT Home Win51.6%

HT Over 1.550.6%

HT Under 1.549.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

HT/FT Home/Home46.0%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw31.5%

HT Both Teams Score28.4%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT Under 0.518.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT Away Win16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Away/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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