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UEFA Europa League

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Kick-off 16:30 · Wed, Nov 4
📊 Our Prediction
Home +3.5 (Handicap)
74% confidence
Rennes 73.6% Draw 18.6% Olympiakos Piraeus 7.8%
Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 44%
🎯 Best Pick
Home or Draw (1X)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
92%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Under 4.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
82%
Home Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
74%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 13.8%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
13.8%
Exact-score model probability
Rennes
W W W D L W
Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5
Olympiakos Piraeus
L D
Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rennes win73.6%
Draw18.6%
Olympiakos Piraeus win7.8%
Over 1.5 goals80.3%
Over 2.5 goals56.5%
Over 3.5 goals34.1%
Both teams to score44.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)
91.1%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)
91.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home
91.1%
Match Result (11)
Home or Draw (1X)91.1%
Draw No Bet - Home89.4%
Home or Away (12)83.4%
Home Win74.6%
Both Halves Over 0.559.0%
Goal in Both Halves59.0%
Draw or Away (X2)25.4%
Draw16.5%
Exactly 1 Goal15.4%
Draw No Bet - Away10.6%
Away Win8.8%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals94.7%
Under 5.5 Goals92.2%
Under 4.5 Goals82.4%
Over 1.5 Goals79.3%
Under 3.5 Goals65.9%
2-4 Goals61.7%
1-3 Goals60.6%
Over 2.5 Goals56.5%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
2-3 Goals45.2%
Under 2.5 Goals43.5%
3-4 Goals38.9%
1-2 Goals38.2%
Over 3.5 Goals34.1%
4+ Goals34.1%
Exactly 2 Goals22.8%
Exactly 3 Goals22.4%
Under 1.5 Goals20.7%
Over 4.5 Goals17.6%
Over 5.5 Goals7.8%
Under 0.5 Goals5.3%
Exactly 0 Goals5.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score89.9%
No Both Teams Score (NG)57.0%
Home Clean Sheet52.2%
Away Team to Score47.8%
Home Win to Nil46.9%
Both Teams Score (GG)43.0%
Away Clean Sheet10.0%
Away Win to Nil4.8%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.589.9%
Home Over 1.566.9%
Away Exactly 052.2%
Away Over 0.547.8%
Home Over 2.540.3%
Home 3+ Goals40.3%
Away Exactly 133.9%
Home Exactly 226.5%
Home Exactly 123.1%
Away Over 1.513.9%
Away Exactly 211.0%
Home Exactly 010.0%
Away Over 2.52.8%
Away 3+ Goals2.8%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.1%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.5%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.1%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)86.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away86.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.6%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)71.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away71.1%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)51.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home51.0%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)48.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away48.9%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)28.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home28.8%
Home to win by 3+28.8%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.6%
Home to win by 123.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.2%
Home to win by 222.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.2%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)13.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home13.6%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.7%
Away to win by 16.7%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.6%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.2%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%
Away to win by 21.8%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%
Away to win by 3+0.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
Home & Over 2.548.7%
Home & No BTTS46.9%
No BTTS & Under 2.535.6%
BTTS & Over 2.535.1%
Home & BTTS27.6%
Home & Under 2.525.9%
No BTTS & Over 2.521.3%
Draw & Under 2.513.1%
Draw & BTTS11.3%
BTTS & Under 2.57.8%
Away & No BTTS4.8%
Away & Under 2.54.5%
Away & Over 2.54.3%
Away & BTTS4.0%
Draw & Over 2.53.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.573.5%
HT Under 1.561.7%
HT Home Win54.5%
HT/FT Home/Home50.9%
2nd Half More Goals44.4%
HT Over 1.538.3%
HT Draw35.2%
1st Half More Goals31.4%
HT Under 0.526.5%
Equal Goals Each Half24.2%
HT/FT Draw/Home21.0%
HT Both Teams Score16.4%
HT/FT Draw/Draw10.5%
HT Away Win10.4%
HT/FT Away/Away4.6%
HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%
HT/FT Away/Home2.7%
HT/FT Home/Away0.6%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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