France · Ligue 1

Rennes vs Paris Saint Germain

Kick-off 19:45 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Rennes 23.7% Draw 23.0% Paris Saint Germain 53.3%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Paris Saint Germain: 12 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Rennes

L W L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 12:10 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

Paris Saint Germain

L W W D W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:4 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 5

Rennes 1wins ·1 draws ·Paris Saint Germain 3wins

Rennes 3-1 Paris Saint GermainFeb 13, 2026

Rennes 0-5 Paris Saint GermainDec 6, 2025

Rennes 1-4 Paris Saint GermainMar 8, 2025

Rennes 1-3 Paris Saint GermainSep 27, 2024

Rennes 1-1 Paris Saint GermainFeb 25, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rennes win23.7%

Draw23.0%

Paris Saint Germain win53.3%

Over 1.5 goals84.6%

Over 2.5 goals79.0%

Over 3.5 goals41.6%

Both teams to score72.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

85.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

85.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Draw or Away (X2)83.5%

Draw No Bet - Away80.5%

Both Halves Over 0.575.8%

Goal in Both Halves75.8%

Away Win67.2%

Home or Draw (1X)32.5%

Draw No Bet - Home19.5%

Home Win16.3%

Draw16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals77.9%

Under 5.5 Goals76.6%

Under 4.5 Goals60.5%

Over 3.5 Goals59.0%

4+ Goals59.0%

2-4 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals41.0%

Over 4.5 Goals39.5%

1-3 Goals39.1%

3-4 Goals38.3%

2-3 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals23.4%

Under 2.5 Goals22.1%

1-2 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.6%

Home Team to Score73.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.7%

Away Clean Sheet25.9%

Away Win to Nil24.3%

Home Clean Sheet6.2%

Home Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.6%

Away Over 1.576.4%

Home Over 0.573.9%

Away Over 2.552.5%

Away 3+ Goals52.5%

Home Over 1.539.0%

Home Exactly 134.9%

Home Exactly 025.9%

Away Exactly 223.9%

Home Exactly 223.6%

Away Exactly 117.2%

Home Over 2.515.4%

Home 3+ Goals15.4%

Away Exactly 06.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home71.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)67.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home52.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away47.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.4%

Away to win by 3+28.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%

Away to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 218.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 19.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.1%

Home to win by 3+2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.563.3%

Away & Over 2.556.6%

Away & BTTS43.0%

Away & No BTTS24.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS14.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.6%

Home & Over 2.512.7%

Home & BTTS11.7%

Away & Under 2.510.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Under 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.0%

Home & No BTTS4.6%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.5%

HT Over 1.555.5%

HT Away Win52.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT/FT Away/Away46.2%

HT Under 1.544.5%

HT Both Teams Score32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw29.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT Home Win18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.8%

HT Under 0.515.5%

HT/FT Home/Home9.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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