France · Ligue 1

Rennes vs Strasbourg

Kick-off 17:15 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Rennes 51.7% Draw 22.0% Strasbourg 26.3%

Over 2.5 - 97% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Rennes: 13 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Rennes

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Strasbourg

L L L D W W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 12:11 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 5

Rennes 3wins ·0 draws ·Strasbourg 2wins

Rennes 3-0 StrasbourgApr 19, 2026

Rennes 4-1 StrasbourgNov 2, 2025

Rennes 1-0 StrasbourgFeb 2, 2025

Rennes 1-3 StrasbourgAug 25, 2024

Rennes 0-2 StrasbourgMar 31, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rennes win51.7%

Draw22.0%

Strasbourg win26.3%

Over 1.5 goals86.8%

Over 2.5 goals96.9%

Over 3.5 goals46.4%

Both teams to score90.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.3%

Goal in Both Halves87.3%

Home or Away (12)84.5%

Home or Draw (1X)79.6%

Draw No Bet - Home77.0%

Home Win65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)33.9%

Draw No Bet - Away23.0%

Away Win19.4%

Draw14.5%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals90.3%

Over 3.5 Goals79.1%

4+ Goals79.1%

Over 4.5 Goals63.7%

Under 5.5 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals46.6%

Under 4.5 Goals36.3%

2-4 Goals32.7%

3-4 Goals26.6%

Under 3.5 Goals20.9%

1-3 Goals19.4%

2-3 Goals17.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.2%

Under 2.5 Goals9.7%

1-2 Goals8.3%

Exactly 2 Goals6.1%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score85.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.7%

Home Clean Sheet13.1%

Home Win to Nil12.7%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 0.585.9%

Home Over 1.585.5%

Home Over 2.567.0%

Home 3+ Goals67.0%

Away Over 1.559.4%

Away Over 2.532.6%

Away 3+ Goals32.6%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 126.5%

Home Exactly 218.4%

Away Exactly 013.1%

Home Exactly 110.5%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.3%

Home to win by 3+31.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 19.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.5%

Away to win by 25.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.0%

Away to win by 3+4.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.5%

Home & Over 2.561.2%

Home & BTTS52.4%

Away & Over 2.517.8%

Away & BTTS16.8%

Draw & BTTS14.1%

Home & No BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Home & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.7%

HT Over 1.571.0%

HT Home Win53.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score47.4%

HT/FT Home/Home46.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.529.0%

HT Draw25.3%

HT Away Win21.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT/FT Away/Away11.5%

HT Under 0.58.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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