UEFA Europa Conference League
Riga vs Vardar Skopje
📊 Our Prediction
Over 2.5 Goals
96% confidence
Over 2.5 - 96%
BTTS - 93%
✓ Pick was correct (5–2)
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
High scoring teams
⚠️ Market disagrees
- bookies say 45%
⚠️ AIs disagree
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score (GG)
BTTS rate high
Home or Away (12)
Low draw probability
🤖 AI Match Analysis
Riga and Vardar Skopje have a high scoring history with 95% chance of over 1.5 goals. Riga's home form is strong with 3 goals scored per game. Vardar Skopje's away form is also decent with 3 goals scored in their last away game. The head-to-head history also suggests a high scoring game. With Riga's strong attack and Vardar Skopje's ability to score away from home, both teams are likely to score. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring nature of both teams.
Top Tip
Over 2
📈 Probability Breakdown
Riga win58.0%
Draw16.0%
Vardar Skopje win26.0%
Over 1.5 goals99.7%
Over 2.5 goals96.2%
Over 3.5 goals95.0%
Both teams to score93.2%
🎯 Full Market Board
Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.
Away Team to Score
91.8%
Away Over 0.5
91.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)
90.8%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.595.7%
Goal in Both Halves95.7%
Home or Away (12)81.9%
Home or Draw (1X)68.6%
Draw No Bet - Home67.5%
Home Win55.3%
Draw or Away (X2)40.0%
Draw No Bet - Away32.5%
Away Win26.7%
Draw13.4%
Exactly 1 Goal0.3%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.2%
Over 1.5 Goals94.9%
Over 2.5 Goals93.7%
Over 3.5 Goals90.5%
4+ Goals90.5%
Over 4.5 Goals84.3%
Over 5.5 Goals74.6%
Total Goals Odd47.6%
Total Goals Even47.6%
Under 5.5 Goals25.4%
Under 4.5 Goals15.7%
2-4 Goals10.6%
Under 3.5 Goals9.5%
3-4 Goals9.4%
Under 2.5 Goals6.3%
Under 1.5 Goals5.1%
Under 0.5 Goals4.8%
1-3 Goals4.7%
2-3 Goals4.4%
Exactly 3 Goals3.2%
1-2 Goals1.5%
Exactly 2 Goals1.2%
Exactly 0 Goals0.0%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score94.2%
Away Team to Score91.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)90.8%
No Both Teams Score (NG)9.2%
Home Clean Sheet3.4%
Home Win to Nil3.4%
Away Clean Sheet1.1%
Away Win to Nil1.1%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.594.2%
Away Over 0.591.8%
Home Over 1.589.2%
Away Over 1.580.4%
Home Over 2.578.0%
Home 3+ Goals78.0%
Away Over 2.561.4%
Away 3+ Goals61.4%
Away Exactly 219.0%
Away Exactly 111.4%
Home Exactly 211.2%
Home Exactly 15.0%
Away Exactly 03.4%
Home Exactly 01.1%
Handicap & Margin (12)
Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.3%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.5%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.2%
Home to win by 3+27.2%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.9%
Home to win by 114.5%
Home to win by 213.6%
Away to win by 110.7%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.5%
Away to win by 3+8.5%
Away to win by 27.5%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.590.2%
Home & Over 2.554.7%
Home & BTTS51.9%
Away & Over 2.526.3%
Away & BTTS25.6%
Draw & BTTS13.3%
Draw & Over 2.512.7%
No BTTS & Over 2.53.5%
Home & No BTTS3.4%
Away & No BTTS1.1%
No BTTS & Under 2.51.0%
Home & Under 2.50.6%
Draw & Under 2.50.6%
BTTS & Under 2.50.6%
Away & Under 2.50.4%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.597.0%
HT Over 1.586.6%
HT Both Teams Score67.4%
2nd Half More Goals53.7%
HT Home Win49.9%
HT/FT Home/Home41.1%
1st Half More Goals32.1%
HT Away Win28.6%
HT Draw21.5%
HT/FT Away/Away17.1%
Equal Goals Each Half14.0%
HT Under 1.513.4%
HT/FT Draw/Home11.2%
HT/FT Away/Home6.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away6.1%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%
HT/FT Draw/Draw4.1%
HT/FT Home/Away4.1%
HT Under 0.53.0%
How we predict:
Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.