Portugal · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs Famalicao

Full time · 0:4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Rio Ave 26.2% Draw 26.3% Famalicao 47.5%

Over 2.5 - 42% BTTS - 70%

✓ Pick was correct (0:4)

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

79%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rio Ave: 7 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Rio Ave

W L D L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Famalicao

L W D D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 5

Rio Ave 0wins ·3 draws ·Famalicao 2wins

Rio Ave 0-0 FamalicaoMar 1, 2026

Rio Ave 0-0 FamalicaoSep 28, 2025

Rio Ave 0-1 FamalicaoMar 10, 2025

Rio Ave 1-1 FamalicaoOct 4, 2024

Rio Ave 1-2 FamalicaoFeb 16, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rio Ave win26.2%

Draw26.3%

Famalicao win47.5%

Over 1.5 goals67.6%

Over 2.5 goals41.7%

Over 3.5 goals21.1%

Both teams to score70.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

87.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

87.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)87.1%

Draw No Bet - Away84.8%

Home or Away (12)83.5%

Away Win70.8%

Both Halves Over 0.568.7%

Goal in Both Halves68.7%

Home or Draw (1X)29.1%

Draw16.4%

Draw No Bet - Home15.2%

Home Win12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal10.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.9%

Under 5.5 Goals85.0%

Under 4.5 Goals71.4%

Over 2.5 Goals69.0%

2-4 Goals58.4%

Under 3.5 Goals52.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.4%

Over 3.5 Goals47.6%

4+ Goals47.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.3%

Under 2.5 Goals31.0%

Over 4.5 Goals28.6%

1-2 Goals28.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals18.0%

Over 5.5 Goals15.0%

Under 1.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.1%

Home Team to Score63.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.6%

Away Clean Sheet36.5%

Away Win to Nil33.7%

Home Clean Sheet7.7%

Home Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.1%

Away Over 1.572.3%

Home Over 0.563.3%

Away Over 2.547.0%

Away 3+ Goals47.0%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 036.5%

Home Over 1.526.6%

Away Exactly 225.3%

Away Exactly 119.8%

Home Exactly 218.5%

Home Over 2.58.1%

Home 3+ Goals8.1%

Away Exactly 07.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away87.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)70.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home50.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away49.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home29.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.0%

Away to win by 3+29.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.5%

Away to win by 121.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.3%

Away to win by 220.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.5%

Home to win by 18.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.1%

Home to win by 23.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.1%

Home to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.554.3%

BTTS & Over 2.551.2%

Away & BTTS37.1%

Away & No BTTS33.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.8%

Away & Under 2.516.5%

Draw & BTTS13.6%

Draw & Under 2.510.1%

Home & Over 2.58.4%

Home & BTTS7.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Home & No BTTS4.9%

Home & Under 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.9%

HT Away Win53.4%

HT Under 1.552.4%

HT/FT Away/Away48.6%

HT Over 1.547.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT Draw32.0%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.6%

HT Home Win14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.8%

HT/FT Home/Home7.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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