Portugal · Primeira Liga

Rio Ave vs SC Braga

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Rio Ave 17.9% Draw 19.9% SC Braga 62.2%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 65%

✓ Pick was correct (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to SC Braga: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Rio Ave 1 wins, 2 draws, SC Braga 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Rio Ave

L L W L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:16 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.67

SC Braga

W L L L D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Rio Ave 1wins ·2 draws ·SC Braga 2wins

Rio Ave 0-3 SC BragaFeb 8, 2026

Rio Ave 2-2 SC BragaAug 31, 2025

Rio Ave 2-1 SC BragaMar 2, 2025

Rio Ave 0-4 SC BragaSep 29, 2024

Rio Ave 0-0 SC BragaMar 9, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rio Ave win17.9%

Draw19.9%

SC Braga win62.2%

Over 1.5 goals78.4%

Over 2.5 goals56.1%

Over 3.5 goals33.7%

Both teams to score64.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

89.9%

Away Over 0.5

89.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)83.5%

Home or Away (12)81.1%

Draw No Bet - Away79.8%

Both Halves Over 0.565.8%

Goal in Both Halves65.8%

Away Win64.7%

Home or Draw (1X)35.2%

Draw No Bet - Home20.2%

Draw18.8%

Home Win16.4%

Exactly 1 Goal11.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals84.9%

Under 4.5 Goals75.1%

Over 2.5 Goals65.3%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 3.5 Goals56.6%

1-3 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.4%

4+ Goals43.4%

2-3 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.7%

1-2 Goals31.2%

Over 4.5 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals15.1%

Over 5.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.9%

Home Team to Score65.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.9%

Away Clean Sheet34.2%

Away Win to Nil30.8%

Home Clean Sheet10.1%

Home Win to Nil6.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.9%

Away Over 1.566.7%

Home Over 0.565.7%

Away Over 2.540.2%

Away 3+ Goals40.2%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 034.2%

Home Over 1.529.1%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Exactly 123.1%

Home Exactly 219.7%

Away Exactly 010.1%

Home Over 2.59.4%

Home 3+ Goals9.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)83.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away83.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)77.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home77.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)57.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home57.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)35.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home35.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.9%

Away to win by 3+22.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.6%

Away to win by 122.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw19.2%

Away to win by 219.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.5%

Home to win by 110.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.2%

Home to win by 24.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.6%

Home to win by 3+1.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.6%

Away & Over 2.547.7%

Away & BTTS34.0%

Away & No BTTS30.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.1%

Away & Under 2.517.0%

Draw & BTTS15.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.7%

Draw & Under 2.511.9%

Home & Over 2.510.7%

Home & BTTS9.8%

BTTS & Under 2.58.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Home & No BTTS6.6%

Home & Under 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.0%

HT Under 1.555.3%

HT Away Win48.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.544.7%

HT/FT Away/Away43.0%

HT Draw34.4%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.6%

Equal Goals Each Half22.4%

HT Under 0.522.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.2%

HT Home Win17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.2%

HT/FT Home/Home9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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