Turkey · Süper Lig

Rizespor vs Alanyaspor

Kick-off 18:00 · Mon, Sep 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Rizespor 26.1% Draw 25.3% Alanyaspor 48.6%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Alanyaspor: 7 points versus 8 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.70 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

Rizespor

W D L W

Form 2-1-1 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Alanyaspor

W D L W D

Form 2-2-1 Goals 6:4 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 0.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rizespor win26.1%

Draw25.3%

Alanyaspor win48.6%

Over 1.5 goals84.0%

Over 2.5 goals61.8%

Over 3.5 goals39.5%

Both teams to score63.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

89.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.4%

Draw or Away (X2)72.6%

Draw No Bet - Away64.6%

Both Halves Over 0.563.0%

Goal in Both Halves63.0%

Home or Draw (1X)50.0%

Away Win49.9%

Draw No Bet - Home35.4%

Home Win27.4%

Draw22.6%

Exactly 1 Goal13.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.9%

Under 5.5 Goals89.6%

Over 1.5 Goals82.7%

Under 4.5 Goals78.3%

Over 2.5 Goals61.7%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 3.5 Goals60.5%

1-3 Goals56.4%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.2%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Over 3.5 Goals39.5%

4+ Goals39.5%

Under 2.5 Goals38.3%

1-2 Goals34.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.7%

Exactly 2 Goals21.0%

Under 1.5 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals10.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.1%

Exactly 0 Goals4.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.4%

Home Team to Score73.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.0%

Away Clean Sheet26.5%

Away Win to Nil22.4%

Home Clean Sheet15.6%

Home Win to Nil11.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.4%

Home Over 0.573.5%

Away Over 1.555.5%

Home Over 1.538.3%

Home Exactly 135.2%

Away Exactly 129.0%

Away Over 2.528.5%

Away 3+ Goals28.5%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 026.5%

Home Exactly 223.4%

Away Exactly 015.6%

Home Over 2.514.9%

Home 3+ Goals14.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home87.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away72.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away28.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.0%

Away to win by 122.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.2%

Away to win by 215.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.8%

Away to win by 3+12.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.7%

Home to win by 27.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.0%

Home to win by 3+4.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.9%

Away & Over 2.535.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.528.1%

Away & BTTS27.6%

Away & No BTTS22.4%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Home & Over 2.518.3%

Home & BTTS16.0%

Away & Under 2.514.8%

Draw & Under 2.514.3%

Home & No BTTS11.4%

BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

Home & Under 2.59.1%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.2%

HT Under 1.558.0%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Over 1.542.0%

HT Away Win38.5%

HT Draw37.3%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT/FT Away/Away31.2%

HT Both Teams Score25.5%

HT Home Win24.2%

HT Under 0.523.8%

Equal Goals Each Half23.2%

HT/FT Home/Home15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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