Russia · Premier League

Rodina Moskva vs Akron

Kick-off 12:00 · Sat, Aug 15

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

42% confidence

Rodina Moskva 42.0% Draw 22.0% Akron 36.0%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Very high probability

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

85%

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

83%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Rodina Moskva and Akron have a significant form gap, with Rodina Moskva averaging 1.33 goals per game and Akron averaging 0.63. Rodina Moskva's attacking threat is higher, but Akron's defense can be breached. The key player impact is unknown due to lack of specific player data. The H2H significance is low since they have not met before. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high expected goals and scoring rates of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 95.5% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

Very high probability

Recent form leans to Akron: 3 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

95.5%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Rodina Moskva high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Akron high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Rodina Moskva

W L L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.67

Akron

D L L L W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:12 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rodina Moskva win42.0%

Draw22.0%

Akron win36.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.5%

Over 2.5 goals85.0%

Over 3.5 goals69.3%

Both teams to score82.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.2%

Home Over 0.5

91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.5%

Goal in Both Halves81.5%

Home or Away (12)81.0%

Home or Draw (1X)62.7%

Draw or Away (X2)56.1%

Draw No Bet - Home54.1%

Draw No Bet - Away45.9%

Home Win43.8%

Away Win37.2%

Draw18.9%

Exactly 1 Goal4.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals84.8%

Over 3.5 Goals69.2%

4+ Goals69.2%

Under 5.5 Goals66.7%

Over 4.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals49.2%

2-4 Goals44.0%

3-4 Goals34.1%

Over 5.5 Goals33.3%

Under 3.5 Goals30.8%

1-3 Goals29.8%

2-3 Goals25.6%

Exactly 3 Goals15.6%

Under 2.5 Goals15.2%

1-2 Goals14.1%

Exactly 2 Goals9.9%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.2%

Away Team to Score89.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.2%

Home Clean Sheet10.4%

Home Win to Nil9.5%

Away Clean Sheet8.6%

Away Win to Nil7.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.2%

Away Over 0.589.5%

Home Over 1.570.2%

Away Over 1.566.0%

Home Over 2.544.3%

Home 3+ Goals44.3%

Away Over 2.539.4%

Away 3+ Goals39.4%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Away Exactly 123.5%

Home Exactly 121.1%

Away Exactly 010.4%

Home Exactly 08.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home62.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)56.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away56.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)43.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)37.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 117.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.1%

Away to win by 116.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.6%

Home to win by 3+13.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 212.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.9%

Away to win by 210.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.2%

Away to win by 3+10.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.8%

Home & Over 2.538.9%

Home & BTTS34.3%

Away & Over 2.532.9%

Away & BTTS29.5%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.1%

Home & No BTTS9.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS7.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.0%

Home & Under 2.54.9%

Away & Under 2.54.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.0%

HT Over 1.562.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.1%

HT Both Teams Score42.7%

HT Home Win37.3%

HT Under 1.537.3%

HT Away Win33.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.7%

HT/FT Home/Home27.9%

HT/FT Away/Away23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT Under 0.512.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions