Russia · Premier League

Rodina Moskva vs Baltika

Kick-off 13:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Rodina Moskva 31.7% Draw 19.1% Baltika 49.2%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Baltika: 4 points versus 6 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.92 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Rodina Moskva

D W L L

Form 1-1-2 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 2.75

Baltika

L W W L L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rodina Moskva win31.7%

Draw19.1%

Baltika win49.2%

Over 1.5 goals96.5%

Over 2.5 goals87.4%

Over 3.5 goals73.3%

Both teams to score84.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

91.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.7%

Goal in Both Halves83.7%

Home or Away (12)81.8%

Draw or Away (X2)67.5%

Draw No Bet - Away60.6%

Home or Draw (1X)50.1%

Away Win49.6%

Draw No Bet - Home39.4%

Home Win32.2%

Draw17.9%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.7%

Over 2.5 Goals87.2%

Over 3.5 Goals73.1%

4+ Goals73.1%

Under 5.5 Goals62.0%

Over 4.5 Goals55.5%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals44.5%

2-4 Goals40.1%

Over 5.5 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals31.7%

Under 3.5 Goals26.9%

1-3 Goals25.9%

2-3 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals14.1%

Under 2.5 Goals12.8%

1-2 Goals11.9%

Exactly 2 Goals8.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.3%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score93.3%

Home Team to Score89.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.6%

Away Clean Sheet10.6%

Away Win to Nil9.9%

Home Clean Sheet6.4%

Home Win to Nil5.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.593.3%

Home Over 0.589.1%

Away Over 1.575.8%

Home Over 1.565.4%

Away Over 2.551.6%

Away 3+ Goals51.6%

Home Over 2.538.7%

Home 3+ Goals38.7%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 224.2%

Home Exactly 123.8%

Away Exactly 117.6%

Home Exactly 010.6%

Away Exactly 06.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home82.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)67.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home67.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away31.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away17.7%

Away to win by 117.7%

Away to win by 3+17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.1%

Away to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.4%

Home to win by 29.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw9.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.4%

Home to win by 3+8.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.2%

Away & Over 2.545.1%

Away & BTTS39.7%

Home & Over 2.529.0%

Home & BTTS26.5%

Draw & BTTS17.3%

Draw & Over 2.513.1%

Away & No BTTS9.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Home & No BTTS5.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.9%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Home & Under 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.4%

HT Over 1.565.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score45.1%

HT Away Win41.4%

HT Under 1.534.3%

HT/FT Away/Away32.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win30.0%

HT Draw28.5%

HT/FT Home/Home19.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.5%

HT Under 0.510.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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