Russia · Premier League

Rodina Moskva vs FC Rostov

Kick-off 18:00 · Fri, Jul 31

📊 Our Prediction

Away Win

96% confidence

Rodina Moskva 1.0% Draw 3.0% FC Rostov 96.0%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 26%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

Strong away form

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 40%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring probability

82%

Away Over 1.5

FC Rostov scoring power

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Rodina Moskva is in poor form, having lost their last match 0-3. FC Rostov has a strong away record, with 2 wins in their last 3 away matches. With FC Rostov's high expected goals and Rodina Moskva's poor defensive record, an away win is likely. FC Rostov's attacking threat, led by potential key players like Sardar Azmoun, will be difficult for Rodina Moskva to handle.

💡

Top Tip

FC Rostov to win with a high probability due to their strong away form and Rodina Moskva's poor defensive record

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-4 at 14.1%, based on the goal model.

Strong away form

Numbers behind this Away Win

Most likely score

0-4

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.1%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

40%

Market does not fully agree

Rodina Moskva

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:3 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 3

FC Rostov

L L W W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.25

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rodina Moskva win1.0%

Draw3.0%

FC Rostov win96.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.2%

Over 2.5 goals83.6%

Over 3.5 goals69.3%

Both teams to score25.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.2%

Away Over 1.5

89.9%

HT Over 0.5

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away99.4%

Draw or Away (X2)95.5%

Home or Away (12)93.6%

Away Win93.1%

Both Halves Over 0.582.2%

Goal in Both Halves82.2%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Home or Draw (1X)2.9%

Draw2.4%

Draw No Bet - Home0.6%

Home Win0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.2%

Over 2.5 Goals81.7%

Under 5.5 Goals69.1%

Over 3.5 Goals66.6%

4+ Goals66.6%

Under 4.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even48.4%

Over 4.5 Goals48.3%

Total Goals Odd47.5%

2-4 Goals42.9%

Under 3.5 Goals33.4%

3-4 Goals33.4%

Over 5.5 Goals30.9%

1-3 Goals28.6%

2-3 Goals24.6%

Under 2.5 Goals18.3%

Exactly 3 Goals15.2%

1-2 Goals13.4%

Exactly 2 Goals9.5%

Under 1.5 Goals8.8%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.4%

Away Clean Sheet71.1%

Away Win to Nil70.3%

Home Team to Score24.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.6%

Home Clean Sheet1.1%

Home Win to Nil0.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.9%

Away Over 1.589.9%

Away Over 2.578.6%

Away 3+ Goals78.6%

Home Exactly 071.1%

Home Over 0.524.9%

Home Exactly 121.3%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 15.0%

Home Over 1.53.5%

Home Exactly 23.2%

Away Exactly 01.1%

Home Over 2.50.3%

Home 3+ Goals0.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away95.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)93.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away86.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)73.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)73.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away73.5%

Away to win by 3+73.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)58.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home58.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)56.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away56.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home39.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)37.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away37.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home22.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)22.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away22.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw18.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw17.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw15.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%

Away to win by 212.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 16.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home2.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw0.5%

Home to win by 10.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 20.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.581.1%

Away & No BTTS70.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.558.2%

BTTS & Over 2.523.5%

Away & BTTS22.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Away & Under 2.512.0%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

Draw & BTTS1.5%

BTTS & Under 2.51.1%

Draw & Over 2.50.4%

Home & Under 2.50.3%

Home & No BTTS0.3%

Home & Over 2.50.2%

Home & BTTS0.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.4%

HT Away Win83.2%

HT/FT Away/Away82.6%

HT Over 1.563.5%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Under 1.536.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT Draw14.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.1%

HT Under 0.511.6%

HT Both Teams Score11.0%

HT Home Win1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.4%

HT/FT Home/Home0.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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