Russia · Premier League

Rodina Moskva vs Rubin

Kick-off 16:30 · Wed, Sep 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

70% confidence

Rodina Moskva 16.2% Draw 13.5% Rubin 70.3%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rubin: 4 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.73 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.4%

Exact-score model probability

Rodina Moskva

L D W L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2.8

Rubin

D D W L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rodina Moskva win16.2%

Draw13.5%

Rubin win70.3%

Over 1.5 goals98.5%

Over 2.5 goals93.7%

Over 3.5 goals84.7%

Both teams to score85.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 2.5 Goals

91.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.9%

Goal in Both Halves89.9%

Home or Away (12)85.3%

Draw or Away (X2)81.9%

Draw No Bet - Away81.1%

Away Win69.2%

Home or Draw (1X)28.8%

Draw No Bet - Home18.9%

Home Win16.1%

Draw12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.3%

Over 2.5 Goals91.9%

Over 3.5 Goals83.0%

4+ Goals83.0%

Over 4.5 Goals69.6%

Over 5.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Under 5.5 Goals46.4%

Under 4.5 Goals30.4%

2-4 Goals26.7%

3-4 Goals22.2%

Under 3.5 Goals17.0%

1-3 Goals14.8%

2-3 Goals13.3%

Exactly 3 Goals8.9%

Under 2.5 Goals8.1%

1-2 Goals5.9%

Exactly 2 Goals4.4%

Under 1.5 Goals3.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score96.1%

Home Team to Score85.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.1%

Away Clean Sheet12.4%

Away Win to Nil12.1%

Home Clean Sheet1.9%

Home Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.596.1%

Away Over 1.588.4%

Home Over 0.585.6%

Away Over 2.573.3%

Away 3+ Goals73.3%

Home Over 1.560.0%

Home Over 2.533.5%

Home 3+ Goals33.5%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 125.6%

Away Exactly 215.1%

Home Exactly 012.4%

Away Exactly 17.7%

Away Exactly 01.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home86.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)81.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away81.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home75.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)69.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away53.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)44.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home44.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)36.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away36.8%

Away to win by 3+36.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home28.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 216.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.9%

Away to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 18.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.5%

Home to win by 24.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.2%

Home to win by 3+3.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.581.9%

Away & Over 2.566.3%

Away & BTTS57.1%

Home & Over 2.515.1%

Home & BTTS14.4%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Away & No BTTS12.1%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Under 2.52.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Home & No BTTS1.7%

Home & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.3%

HT Over 1.575.2%

HT Away Win57.2%

2nd Half More Goals51.3%

HT/FT Away/Away50.9%

HT Both Teams Score50.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.8%

HT Draw23.2%

HT Home Win19.6%

Equal Goals Each Half16.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away14.1%

HT/FT Home/Home9.5%

HT Under 0.56.7%

HT/FT Home/Away6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions