Russia · Premier League

Rubin vs Akhmat

Kick-off 17:30 · Mon, Sep 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Rubin 36.7% Draw 31.9% Akhmat 31.4%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rubin: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Rubin

D D W L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Akhmat

L D L D D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rubin win36.7%

Draw31.9%

Akhmat win31.4%

Over 1.5 goals68.3%

Over 2.5 goals40.1%

Over 3.5 goals19.8%

Both teams to score48.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.8%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.6%

Home or Draw (1X)66.9%

Draw or Away (X2)61.6%

Draw No Bet - Home53.7%

Draw No Bet - Away46.3%

Both Halves Over 0.546.0%

Goal in Both Halves46.0%

Home Win38.4%

Away Win33.1%

Draw28.4%

Exactly 1 Goal23.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.1%

Under 4.5 Goals91.8%

Over 0.5 Goals89.8%

Under 3.5 Goals80.2%

1-3 Goals70.0%

Over 1.5 Goals66.6%

Under 2.5 Goals59.9%

2-4 Goals58.4%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals40.1%

Under 1.5 Goals33.4%

3-4 Goals31.8%

Exactly 2 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 3.5 Goals19.8%

4+ Goals19.8%

Under 0.5 Goals10.2%

Exactly 0 Goals10.2%

Over 4.5 Goals8.2%

Over 5.5 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score69.8%

Away Team to Score66.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.3%

Home Clean Sheet33.6%

Away Clean Sheet30.2%

Home Win to Nil23.5%

Away Win to Nil20.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.569.8%

Away Over 0.566.4%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 136.2%

Home Over 1.533.6%

Away Exactly 033.6%

Home Exactly 030.2%

Away Over 1.529.7%

Home Exactly 221.6%

Away Exactly 220.0%

Home Over 2.512.0%

Home 3+ Goals12.0%

Away Over 2.59.8%

Away 3+ Goals9.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.0%

Home to win by 122.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 120.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.0%

Home to win by 211.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 29.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.4%

Home to win by 3+5.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

Away to win by 3+4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.546.7%

BTTS & Over 2.533.1%

Home & No BTTS23.5%

Draw & Under 2.523.4%

Away & No BTTS20.1%

Home & Under 2.519.4%

Home & Over 2.519.0%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Away & Under 2.517.1%

Away & Over 2.516.0%

Home & BTTS15.0%

BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

Away & BTTS13.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.0%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.5%

HT Over 0.564.3%

HT Draw45.8%

2nd Half More Goals41.5%

HT Under 0.535.7%

1st Half More Goals30.2%

HT Home Win28.7%

Equal Goals Each Half28.2%

HT Over 1.527.5%

HT Away Win25.5%

HT/FT Home/Home22.2%

HT/FT Away/Away18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.7%

HT Both Teams Score16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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