Russia · Premier League

Rubin vs Fakel

Kick-off 13:15 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Rubin 45.7% Draw 25.5% Fakel 28.8%

Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rubin: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

Rubin

D D W L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

Fakel

W L D L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rubin win45.7%

Draw25.5%

Fakel win28.8%

Over 1.5 goals84.6%

Over 2.5 goals62.6%

Over 3.5 goals40.4%

Both teams to score64.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

89.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Home or Draw (1X)69.8%

Both Halves Over 0.563.7%

Goal in Both Halves63.7%

Draw No Bet - Home60.9%

Draw or Away (X2)53.0%

Home Win47.0%

Draw No Bet - Away39.1%

Away Win30.2%

Draw22.8%

Exactly 1 Goal12.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.0%

Under 5.5 Goals89.1%

Over 1.5 Goals83.3%

Under 4.5 Goals77.5%

Over 2.5 Goals62.6%

2-4 Goals60.8%

Under 3.5 Goals59.6%

1-3 Goals55.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.8%

Over 3.5 Goals40.4%

4+ Goals40.4%

3-4 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals37.4%

1-2 Goals33.4%

Over 4.5 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 2 Goals20.6%

Under 1.5 Goals16.7%

Over 5.5 Goals10.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.0%

Exactly 0 Goals4.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.7%

Away Team to Score75.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.6%

Home Clean Sheet24.2%

Home Win to Nil20.3%

Away Clean Sheet16.3%

Away Win to Nil12.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.7%

Away Over 0.575.7%

Home Over 1.554.1%

Away Over 1.541.4%

Away Exactly 134.3%

Home Exactly 129.6%

Home Over 2.527.3%

Home 3+ Goals27.3%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 024.2%

Away Over 2.517.1%

Away 3+ Goals17.1%

Home Exactly 016.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.3%

Home to win by 121.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.2%

Home to win by 214.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.5%

Home to win by 3+11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.7%

Away to win by 28.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.9%

Away to win by 3+4.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.553.2%

Home & Over 2.533.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.2%

Home & BTTS26.7%

Away & Over 2.520.6%

Home & No BTTS20.3%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Away & BTTS17.8%

Draw & Under 2.514.1%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

Away & No BTTS12.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

Away & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.6%

HT Under 1.557.3%

2nd Half More Goals45.4%

HT Over 1.542.7%

HT Draw37.2%

HT Home Win36.7%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT/FT Home/Home29.1%

HT Both Teams Score26.3%

HT Away Win26.1%

HT Under 0.523.4%

Equal Goals Each Half23.0%

HT/FT Away/Away17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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