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Russia · Premier League

Rubin vs FC Krasnodar

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Jul 26
📊 Our Prediction
Draw or Away (X2)
64% confidence
Rubin 16.0% Draw 20.0% FC Krasnodar 64.0%
Over 2.5 - 63% BTTS - 58%
🎯 Best Pick
Draw or Away (X2)
Strong away form
⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 46%
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
80%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 1.5 Goals
High xG values
80%
Draw or Away
Away team dominance
75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

FC Krasnodar's recent form and high xG value indicate a strong attacking threat. Rubin's defensive strength is a concern, with only one clean sheet in their last three matches. The absence of A. Koksharov for FC Krasnodar may impact their performance. With FC Krasnodar's strong away form and high expected goals, they are likely to score.
💡
Top Tip
FC Krasnodar to win due to their superior form and attacking prowess

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rubin win16.0%
Draw20.0%
FC Krasnodar win64.0%
Over 1.5 goals84.6%
Over 2.5 goals63.0%
Over 3.5 goals40.7%
Both teams to score58.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
89.1%
Away Over 0.5
89.1%
Under 5.5 Goals
89.0%
Over 0.5 Goals96.0%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.3%
Away Team to Score89.1%
Away Over 0.589.1%
Under 5.5 Goals89.0%
Draw or Away (X2)83.7%
Over 1.5 Goals83.4%
Home or Away (12)80.7%
Draw No Bet - Away79.9%
Under 4.5 Goals77.3%
HT Over 0.576.8%
Away Over 1.565.0%
Away Win64.5%
Home Team to Score64.0%
Home Over 0.564.0%
Both Halves Over 0.563.9%
Goal in Both Halves63.9%
Over 2.5 Goals62.9%
2-4 Goals60.7%
Under 3.5 Goals59.3%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.5%
HT Under 1.557.1%
Both Teams Score (GG)57.0%
1-3 Goals55.4%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
BTTS & Over 2.548.2%
HT Away Win48.1%
Away & Over 2.546.2%
2nd Half More Goals45.4%
No Both Teams Score (NG)43.0%
HT Over 1.542.9%
2-3 Goals42.7%
HT/FT Away/Away42.6%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.5%
Over 3.5 Goals40.7%
4+ Goals40.7%
3-4 Goals40.2%
Away Over 2.538.3%
Away 3+ Goals38.3%
Under 2.5 Goals37.1%
Home Exactly 136.8%
Away Clean Sheet36.0%
Home Exactly 036.0%
Home or Draw (1X)35.5%
HT Draw35.2%
1-2 Goals33.2%
Away & BTTS32.4%
Away Win to Nil32.1%
Away & No BTTS32.1%
1st Half More Goals31.7%
No BTTS & Under 2.528.2%
Home Over 1.527.2%
Away Exactly 226.8%
Away Exactly 124.1%
HT Both Teams Score23.3%
HT Under 0.523.2%
Away to win by 123.0%
Equal Goals Each Half22.9%
Over 4.5 Goals22.7%
Exactly 3 Goals22.2%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.1%
Away to win by 3+22.1%
Exactly 2 Goals20.5%
Draw No Bet - Home20.1%
Draw19.3%
Away to win by 219.3%
Home Exactly 218.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away18.5%
Away & Under 2.518.3%
HT Home Win16.7%
Under 1.5 Goals16.6%
Home Win16.2%
Draw & BTTS15.4%
No BTTS & Over 2.514.7%
Draw & Under 2.512.8%
Exactly 1 Goal12.7%
Over 5.5 Goals11.0%
Home Clean Sheet10.8%
Away Exactly 010.8%
HT/FT Draw/Draw10.7%
Home to win by 110.6%
Home & Over 2.510.2%
Home & BTTS9.3%
BTTS & Under 2.58.9%
HT/FT Home/Home8.9%
Home Over 2.58.4%
Home 3+ Goals8.4%
Home Win to Nil6.9%
Home & No BTTS6.9%
Draw & Over 2.56.5%
Home & Under 2.56.0%
HT/FT Draw/Home6.0%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%
Home to win by 24.1%
Under 0.5 Goals4.0%
Exactly 0 Goals3.9%
HT/FT Home/Away3.5%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.5%
Home to win by 3+1.5%
HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

FC Krasnodar
A. Koksharov Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Rubin win10%
Draw45%
FC Krasnodar win45%
AdviceDouble chance : draw or FC Krasnodar
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
← All predictions
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