Russia · Premier League

Rubin vs FC Orenburg

Kick-off 18:30 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

74% confidence

Rubin 74.4% Draw 14.5% FC Orenburg 11.1%

Over 2.5 - 83% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 48%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Rubin: 7 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.9%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

48%

Market does not fully agree

Rubin

W L D L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 1.6

FC Orenburg

L W L W L

Form 2-0-3 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Rubin win74.4%

Draw14.5%

FC Orenburg win11.1%

Over 1.5 goals94.5%

Over 2.5 goals82.5%

Over 3.5 goals65.6%

Both teams to score69.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.7%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.8%

Draw No Bet - Home86.6%

Home or Away (12)86.2%

Both Halves Over 0.579.5%

Goal in Both Halves79.5%

Home Win74.6%

Draw or Away (X2)24.8%

Draw No Bet - Away13.4%

Draw13.2%

Away Win11.6%

Exactly 1 Goal5.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals93.3%

Over 2.5 Goals82.0%

Under 5.5 Goals70.9%

Over 3.5 Goals65.2%

4+ Goals65.2%

Under 4.5 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

2-4 Goals47.1%

Over 4.5 Goals46.2%

3-4 Goals35.9%

Under 3.5 Goals34.8%

1-3 Goals33.1%

Over 5.5 Goals29.1%

2-3 Goals28.1%

Under 2.5 Goals18.0%

Exactly 3 Goals16.9%

1-2 Goals16.2%

Exactly 2 Goals11.2%

Under 1.5 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score71.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.1%

Home Clean Sheet27.6%

Home Win to Nil26.5%

Away Clean Sheet4.0%

Away Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.582.5%

Away Over 0.571.8%

Home Over 2.561.8%

Home 3+ Goals61.8%

Away Over 1.536.4%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 027.6%

Away Exactly 222.6%

Home Exactly 220.7%

Away Over 2.513.7%

Away 3+ Goals13.7%

Home Exactly 112.9%

Home Exactly 04.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)77.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away77.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away43.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.3%

Home to win by 3+37.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 219.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 118.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 17.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.565.3%

BTTS & Over 2.564.3%

Home & BTTS48.1%

Home & No BTTS26.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.8%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

Home & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Over 2.59.2%

Away & BTTS8.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Away & No BTTS2.9%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.8%

HT Over 1.560.1%

HT Home Win58.5%

HT/FT Home/Home53.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.539.9%

HT Both Teams Score33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw26.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT Away Win14.7%

HT Under 0.513.2%

HT/FT Away/Away6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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