UEFA Champions League

Sabah FA vs Aarhus

Kick-off 17:00 · Tue, Aug 11

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

80% confidence

Sabah FA 75.0% Draw 15.0% Aarhus 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 80% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 44%

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strong home form

80%

Both Teams Score (GG)

Recent BTTS trend

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Sabah FA has a strong home record with 1.5 goals scored per game. Aarhus has been scoring 2 goals per game but also concedes 1.67. The pi-ratings show the teams are evenly matched. With Sabah FA's home advantage and Aarhus's attacking threat, goals are expected. 5 Goals is the top pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 79.9% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Sabah FA: 12 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

79.9%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Sabah FA high-scoring games

40%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Aarhus high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Bookmaker implied chance

44%

Market does not fully agree

Sabah FA

L W W W W

Form 4-0-1 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 0.6

Aarhus

W W L

Form 2-0-1 Goals 6:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Sabah FA 0wins ·0 draws ·Aarhus 1wins

Sabah FA 1-2 AarhusAug 5, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sabah FA win75.0%

Draw15.0%

Aarhus win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals93.3%

Over 2.5 goals79.9%

Over 3.5 goals61.5%

Both teams to score66.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.9%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.9%

Draw No Bet - Home86.5%

Home or Away (12)85.8%

Both Halves Over 0.577.2%

Goal in Both Halves77.2%

Home Win74.2%

Draw or Away (X2)25.4%

Draw13.8%

Draw No Bet - Away13.5%

Away Win11.6%

Exactly 1 Goal6.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.2%

Over 1.5 Goals92.2%

Over 2.5 Goals79.4%

Under 5.5 Goals74.7%

Over 3.5 Goals61.3%

4+ Goals61.3%

Under 4.5 Goals58.1%

2-4 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Over 4.5 Goals41.9%

Under 3.5 Goals38.7%

3-4 Goals37.5%

1-3 Goals36.9%

2-3 Goals30.9%

Over 5.5 Goals25.3%

Under 2.5 Goals20.6%

1-2 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals18.2%

Exactly 2 Goals12.8%

Under 1.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score69.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.7%

Home Clean Sheet30.0%

Home Win to Nil28.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.7%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.580.6%

Away Over 0.569.6%

Home Over 2.558.7%

Home 3+ Goals58.7%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.533.6%

Away Exactly 030.0%

Home Exactly 221.9%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 114.3%

Away Over 2.512.0%

Away 3+ Goals12.0%

Home Exactly 04.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home55.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.8%

Home to win by 3+35.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%

Home to win by 118.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.4%

Away to win by 17.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.563.3%

BTTS & Over 2.561.2%

Home & BTTS45.6%

Home & No BTTS28.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

Home & Under 2.510.9%

Away & Over 2.58.9%

Away & BTTS8.4%

Draw & Over 2.57.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.6%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.3%

HT Home Win57.7%

HT Over 1.557.2%

HT/FT Home/Home52.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.1%

HT Under 1.542.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score31.2%

HT Draw27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT Under 0.514.7%

HT Away Win14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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