UEFA Champions League

Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund

Kick-off 17:45 · Tue, Oct 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

50% confidence

Sabah FA 50.3% Draw 26.6% Borussia Dortmund 23.1%

Over 2.5 - 55% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Borussia Dortmund: 9 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.2%

Exact-score model probability

Sabah FA

W L W L W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 11:10 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.67

Borussia Dortmund

D L D W W W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sabah FA win50.3%

Draw26.6%

Borussia Dortmund win23.1%

Over 1.5 goals79.4%

Over 2.5 goals54.5%

Over 3.5 goals32.2%

Both teams to score57.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.3%

Home or Draw (1X)75.4%

Draw No Bet - Home67.8%

Both Halves Over 0.557.4%

Goal in Both Halves57.4%

Home Win51.8%

Draw or Away (X2)48.2%

Draw No Bet - Away32.2%

Away Win24.6%

Draw23.7%

Exactly 1 Goal16.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.3%

Under 5.5 Goals92.9%

Under 4.5 Goals83.8%

Over 1.5 Goals77.9%

Under 3.5 Goals67.8%

1-3 Goals62.1%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.7%

Under 2.5 Goals45.5%

1-2 Goals39.7%

3-4 Goals38.3%

Over 3.5 Goals32.2%

4+ Goals32.2%

Exactly 2 Goals23.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Under 1.5 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals16.2%

Over 5.5 Goals7.1%

Under 0.5 Goals5.7%

Exactly 0 Goals5.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score82.4%

Away Team to Score67.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.4%

Home Clean Sheet32.5%

Home Win to Nil26.8%

Away Clean Sheet17.6%

Away Win to Nil11.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.582.4%

Away Over 0.567.5%

Home Over 1.551.9%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Away Exactly 032.5%

Away Over 1.531.0%

Home Exactly 130.6%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Over 2.525.3%

Home 3+ Goals25.3%

Away Exactly 220.5%

Home Exactly 017.6%

Away Over 2.510.4%

Away 3+ Goals10.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home75.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)51.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)48.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away48.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.4%

Home to win by 123.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 115.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.6%

Home to win by 3+12.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 26.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.9%

Away to win by 3+2.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.534.3%

Home & Over 2.533.2%

Home & No BTTS26.8%

Home & BTTS25.0%

Home & Under 2.518.6%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Draw & Under 2.516.9%

Away & Over 2.514.5%

Away & BTTS12.7%

Away & No BTTS11.9%

BTTS & Under 2.511.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.1%

Away & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.4%

HT Under 1.563.1%

2nd Half More Goals44.1%

HT Draw39.6%

HT Home Win38.7%

HT Over 1.536.9%

HT/FT Home/Home32.2%

1st Half More Goals31.3%

HT Under 0.527.6%

Equal Goals Each Half24.7%

HT Away Win21.7%

HT Both Teams Score21.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.8%

HT/FT Away/Away13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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