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Italy · Serie B

Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella

Kick-off 19:30 · Sat, Oct 31
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
39% confidence
Sampdoria 34.0% Draw 27.1% Virtus Entella 38.9%
Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 62%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
82%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
73%
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
62%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.2%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
11.2%
Exact-score model probability
Sampdoria
L W L D L D
Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83
Virtus Entella
W L
Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Sampdoria win34.0%
Draw27.1%
Virtus Entella win38.9%
Over 1.5 goals81.7%
Over 2.5 goals57.9%
Over 3.5 goals35.5%
Both teams to score61.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals
91.5%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)
83.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away
83.5%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)75.8%
Draw or Away (X2)64.5%
Both Halves Over 0.560.0%
Goal in Both Halves60.0%
Home or Draw (1X)59.7%
Draw No Bet - Away53.2%
Draw No Bet - Home46.8%
Away Win40.3%
Home Win35.5%
Draw24.2%
Exactly 1 Goal14.8%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals95.1%
Under 5.5 Goals91.5%
Under 4.5 Goals81.4%
Over 1.5 Goals80.2%
Under 3.5 Goals64.5%
2-4 Goals61.6%
1-3 Goals59.6%
Over 2.5 Goals57.9%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
2-3 Goals44.7%
Under 2.5 Goals42.1%
3-4 Goals39.3%
1-2 Goals37.2%
Over 3.5 Goals35.5%
4+ Goals35.5%
Exactly 3 Goals22.4%
Exactly 2 Goals22.3%
Under 1.5 Goals19.8%
Over 4.5 Goals18.6%
Over 5.5 Goals8.5%
Under 0.5 Goals4.9%
Exactly 0 Goals4.9%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score79.0%
Home Team to Score76.5%
Both Teams Score (GG)60.4%
No Both Teams Score (NG)39.6%
Away Clean Sheet23.5%
Home Clean Sheet21.0%
Away Win to Nil18.5%
Home Win to Nil16.1%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.579.0%
Home Over 0.576.5%
Away Over 1.546.2%
Home Over 1.542.5%
Home Exactly 134.0%
Away Exactly 132.8%
Away Exactly 225.6%
Home Exactly 224.6%
Home Exactly 023.5%
Away Exactly 021.0%
Away Over 2.520.6%
Away 3+ Goals20.6%
Home Over 2.517.8%
Home 3+ Goals17.8%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.3%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.8%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.1%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.0%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.5%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%
Away to win by 120.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.0%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.9%
Home to win by 118.9%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.0%
Away to win by 212.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.4%
Home to win by 210.4%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.9%
Away to win by 3+7.9%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.2%
Home to win by 3+6.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.7%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.549.3%
No BTTS & Under 2.531.0%
Away & Over 2.526.6%
Home & Over 2.523.1%
Away & BTTS21.8%
Home & BTTS19.4%
Draw & BTTS19.3%
Away & No BTTS18.5%
Draw & Under 2.516.1%
Home & No BTTS16.1%
Away & Under 2.513.7%
Home & Under 2.512.3%
BTTS & Under 2.511.2%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%
Draw & Over 2.58.1%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.574.2%
HT Under 1.560.8%
2nd Half More Goals44.6%
HT Over 1.539.2%
HT Draw39.1%
HT Away Win32.0%
1st Half More Goals31.4%
HT Home Win28.9%
HT Under 0.525.8%
HT Both Teams Score24.2%
HT/FT Away/Away24.2%
Equal Goals Each Half24.0%
HT/FT Home/Home20.9%
HT/FT Draw/Draw13.5%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.4%
HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Home/Away2.7%
HT/FT Away/Home2.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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