Turkey · Süper Lig

Samsunspor vs Amed

Kick-off 17:00 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Samsunspor 49.4% Draw 16.9% Amed 33.7%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 91%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

91%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Samsunspor: 7 points versus 6 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.87 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.3%

Exact-score model probability

Samsunspor

L D W L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 2.2 Conceded/game 2.2

Amed

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Samsunspor win49.4%

Draw16.9%

Amed win33.7%

Over 1.5 goals98.7%

Over 2.5 goals94.2%

Over 3.5 goals85.7%

Both teams to score90.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

90.4%

Goal in Both Halves

90.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.4%

Goal in Both Halves90.4%

Home or Away (12)82.9%

Home or Draw (1X)65.4%

Draw No Bet - Home59.4%

Draw or Away (X2)49.8%

Home Win49.2%

Draw No Bet - Away40.6%

Away Win33.6%

Draw16.2%

Exactly 1 Goal1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.5%

Over 2.5 Goals93.3%

Over 3.5 Goals84.9%

4+ Goals84.9%

Over 4.5 Goals72.0%

Over 5.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals43.7%

Under 4.5 Goals28.0%

2-4 Goals25.5%

3-4 Goals21.3%

Under 3.5 Goals15.1%

1-3 Goals13.9%

2-3 Goals12.6%

Exactly 3 Goals8.4%

Under 2.5 Goals6.7%

1-2 Goals5.5%

Exactly 2 Goals4.1%

Under 1.5 Goals2.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score93.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)89.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)10.4%

Home Clean Sheet6.0%

Home Win to Nil5.8%

Away Clean Sheet3.6%

Away Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 0.593.0%

Home Over 1.583.4%

Away Over 1.576.1%

Home Over 2.563.4%

Home 3+ Goals63.4%

Away Over 2.552.4%

Away 3+ Goals52.4%

Away Exactly 223.7%

Home Exactly 219.9%

Away Exactly 116.9%

Home Exactly 112.0%

Away Exactly 06.0%

Home Exactly 03.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)65.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away65.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.8%

Home to win by 3+19.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 116.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw13.6%

Away to win by 113.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.5%

Away to win by 3+10.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 29.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.587.5%

Home & Over 2.547.3%

Home & BTTS43.4%

Away & Over 2.532.1%

Away & BTTS30.2%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.9%

Home & No BTTS5.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.55.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & No BTTS3.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.1%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.6%

HT Over 1.576.0%

HT Both Teams Score55.5%

2nd Half More Goals51.5%

HT Home Win42.6%

HT/FT Home/Home33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win32.1%

HT Draw25.3%

HT Under 1.524.0%

HT/FT Away/Away21.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.3%

HT Under 0.56.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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