Turkey · Süper Lig

Samsunspor vs Göztepe

Kick-off 19:30 · Mon, Aug 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Samsunspor 86.2% Draw 8.2% Göztepe 5.6%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Samsunspor: 6 points versus 4 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Samsunspor

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 7:4 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Göztepe

L W D

Form 1-1-1 Goals 3:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 1

Samsunspor 1wins ·0 draws ·Göztepe 0wins

Samsunspor 3-0 GöztepeMay 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Samsunspor win86.2%

Draw8.2%

Göztepe win5.6%

Over 1.5 goals98.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.6%

Over 3.5 goals82.4%

Both teams to score73.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.7%

Home or Draw (1X)90.5%

Both Halves Over 0.588.9%

Goal in Both Halves88.9%

Home or Away (12)88.7%

Home Win83.1%

Draw or Away (X2)13.0%

Draw7.4%

Draw No Bet - Away6.3%

Away Win5.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals89.0%

Over 3.5 Goals79.2%

4+ Goals79.2%

Over 4.5 Goals64.9%

Under 5.5 Goals51.6%

Over 5.5 Goals48.4%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Under 4.5 Goals35.1%

2-4 Goals29.2%

3-4 Goals24.1%

Under 3.5 Goals20.8%

1-3 Goals16.6%

2-3 Goals14.9%

Under 2.5 Goals11.0%

Exactly 3 Goals9.8%

1-2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Exactly 2 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score70.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.1%

Home Clean Sheet25.3%

Home Win to Nil25.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.4%

Home 3+ Goals78.4%

Away Over 0.570.8%

Away Over 1.537.0%

Away Exactly 133.8%

Away Exactly 025.3%

Away Exactly 222.5%

Away Over 2.514.5%

Away 3+ Goals14.5%

Home Exactly 211.4%

Home Exactly 15.1%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)83.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)72.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away72.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)71.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home71.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away57.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home55.3%

Home to win by 3+55.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away40.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)38.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home38.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away25.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home23.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 215.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.1%

Home to win by 112.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 13.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.8%

BTTS & Over 2.568.1%

Home & BTTS58.1%

Home & No BTTS25.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.9%

Draw & BTTS7.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

Away & Over 2.54.9%

Away & BTTS4.7%

Home & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.6%

HT Over 1.573.5%

HT Home Win70.7%

HT/FT Home/Home67.7%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score39.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.5%

HT Draw19.3%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT Away Win10.0%

HT Under 0.57.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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