USA · Major League Soccer

San Diego vs Colorado Rapids

● LIVE 62' · 2:0

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

66% confidence

San Diego 65.7% Draw 20.4% Colorado Rapids 13.9%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 72%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

66%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Colorado Rapids: 7 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

72%

Market agrees with this pick

San Diego

L W D W L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Colorado Rapids

W W W L W L

Form 4-0-2 Goals 6:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 1

San Diego 0wins ·0 draws ·Colorado Rapids 1wins

San Diego 0-1 Colorado RapidsJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

San Diego win65.7%

Draw20.4%

Colorado Rapids win13.9%

Over 1.5 goals85.9%

Over 2.5 goals65.2%

Over 3.5 goals43.3%

Both teams to score58.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.3%

Home Over 0.5

90.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)85.0%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Draw No Bet - Home81.7%

Home Win66.7%

Both Halves Over 0.565.7%

Goal in Both Halves65.7%

Draw or Away (X2)33.2%

Draw No Bet - Away18.3%

Draw18.2%

Away Win15.0%

Exactly 1 Goal11.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.6%

Over 1.5 Goals84.8%

Under 4.5 Goals75.2%

Over 2.5 Goals65.2%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 3.5 Goals56.8%

1-3 Goals53.2%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.2%

4+ Goals43.2%

2-3 Goals41.6%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.8%

1-2 Goals31.3%

Over 4.5 Goals24.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals15.2%

Over 5.5 Goals12.4%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.3%

Away Team to Score63.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.3%

Home Clean Sheet36.0%

Home Win to Nil32.6%

Away Clean Sheet9.6%

Away Win to Nil6.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.3%

Home Over 1.567.8%

Away Over 0.563.9%

Home Over 2.541.4%

Home 3+ Goals41.4%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 036.0%

Away Over 1.527.1%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Exactly 122.5%

Away Exactly 218.7%

Home Exactly 09.6%

Away Over 2.58.4%

Away 3+ Goals8.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)66.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away55.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)44.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home44.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away33.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.5%

Home to win by 3+24.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.5%

Home to win by 122.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.7%

Home to win by 219.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.8%

Away to win by 19.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.549.5%

Home & Over 2.549.1%

Home & BTTS34.2%

Home & No BTTS32.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.4%

Home & Under 2.517.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.7%

Draw & BTTS14.8%

Draw & Under 2.511.8%

Away & Over 2.59.6%

Away & BTTS8.8%

BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & Over 2.56.5%

Away & No BTTS6.2%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.0%

HT Under 1.555.4%

HT Home Win50.0%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT/FT Home/Home44.7%

HT Over 1.544.6%

HT Draw34.1%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.0%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Away Win15.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.0%

HT/FT Away/Away8.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners70.3%

Away Over 4.5 Corners66.8%

Under 11.5 Corners65.8%

Over 9.5 Corners58.3%

Away Most Corners56.1%

Under 10.5 Corners54.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Over 10.5 Corners45.9%

Under 9.5 Corners41.7%

Over 11.5 Corners34.2%

Home Most Corners31.9%

Under 8.5 Corners29.7%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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